2026年3月9日 上午10:05 UTC / 路透社
作者：内森·莱尼（Nathan Layne）和 Aleksandra Michalska
[1/3] 2026年3月2日，美国新罕布什尔州曼彻斯特市圣安塞尔姆学院，19岁的大二学生迈克尔·利里（Michael Leary）在接受学生小组采访，讨论他们对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普政府的看法后，摆姿势拍照。路透社/Aleksandra Michalska 购买授权（opens new tab）
- 总结
- 公司
- 支持特朗普的大学生对其第二任期态度复杂
- 主要不满包括生活成本上升、学生债务和移民执法策略
- 分析师警告称，共和党可能难以在中期选举中留住年轻男性选民
曼彻斯特，新罕布什尔州，3月9日（路透社） – 在一间摆满美国历任总统著作的大学图书馆里，六名曾投票支持唐纳德·特朗普的年轻男性聚集在一起，评估他的第二任期。他们的评价从有保留的认可到失望不等，反映出这一群体中日益增长的紧张情绪——正是这一群体在2024年将特朗普推上了胜利之路。
尽管这些学生只是一个非常小的样本，但他们褒贬不一的评价——包括几人批评其移民执法过于严厉、对物价上涨感到沮丧——与更广泛的全国民调趋势相呼应，显示这位共和党总统正在失去年轻男性选民的支持。
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公共 opinion polls显示，这种支持度的减弱（是美国民众对特朗普政策普遍不满的一部分），正威胁着共和党人在参议院和众议院维持微弱多数的希望。
追踪青年选民动向的分析师告诉路透社，自特朗普2025年1月重返白宫以来，许多年轻男性表示经济前景并未出现实质性改善。
20岁的大二学生泰勒·维茨加尔（Tyler Witzgall）与五位同学坐在新罕布什尔州圣安塞尔姆学院的政治图书馆里，他表达了同龄人普遍的看法：尽管总统取得了一些成就，但在影响他们日常生活的问题上——如物价高涨——他未能兑现承诺。
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“我还是会毕业，但会背负巨额债务。我很长一段时间内都买不起房子，”维茨加尔评价特朗普为C或C+，他对总统在解决国内经济问题上的努力感到失望。
没有学生表示后悔自己的投票，他们认为2024年民主党总统候选人、当时的副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯将延续他们所诟病的“无节制移民”和“成本飙升”的政策。
然而，即使像20岁的大二学生伊恩·庞弗雷特（Ian Pomfret）这样坚定的特朗普支持者，也在学生小组讨论中批评移民与海关执法局（ICE）执行特朗普打击政策时使用的过于激进的战术。
“ICE（移民与海关执法局）的做法是个大问题，”庞弗雷特指出，两名美国公民在明尼阿波利斯被联邦探员击毙。“我觉得应该有更好的办法，而不是突袭、杀戮和立即驱逐。”
庞弗雷特仍大体支持特朗普，给他打了B+。
根据路透社与益普索（Ipsos）的民调，上月约有33%的18-29岁男性认可特朗普的表现，低于2025年2月的43%。皮尤研究中心（Pew Research）分析的出口民调显示，特朗普在2024年总统选举中获得了46%的年轻男性支持，比2020年高出7个百分点。
一位负责众议院竞选的党内策略师指出，哥伦比亚广播公司新闻（CBS News）2月份的一项调查显示，43%的年轻选民认为共和党立场“主流化”，并表示如果该党能争取到至少40%的青年选票，仍有可能在中期选举中获胜。
中期选举中年轻选民的投票率历来较低，2022年仅有四分之一的年轻选民投票，仅为整体选民投票率的一半。
然而，正如专门研究Z世代选民的民调专家约翰·德拉沃尔佩（John Della Volpe）指出的，年轻选民可能会左右势均力敌的选情——例如2018年，大规模枪击事件引发青年投票浪潮，帮助民主党赢得十多个国会席位。
“过去15到16个月的所有证据表明，这个群体在现阶段不能被视为可靠的共和党选民，”德拉沃尔佩表示，“主要原因是他们没有感受到日常生活中的实质性改善。”
共和党全国委员会（RNC）效仿特朗普入驻TikTok
政治分析师称，特朗普在2024年竞选活动中承诺抑制通货膨胀、促进经济增长和强化移民执法，这些承诺吸引了年轻男性加入他的“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）运动。一系列引人注目的举动——如参加运动鞋活动、与乔·罗根（Joe Rogan）和西奥·冯（Theo Von）等热门播客主持人坐谈、并在TikTok上发布内容——也提升了他在年轻男性中的支持率。
上月，共和党全国委员会（该党最高管理机构）在TikTok上开设了自己的账号，据皮尤研究显示，10个30岁以下的美国人中有6人使用TikTok。
白宫发言人戴维斯·英格（Davis Ingle）表示，没有任何一位总统比特朗普更关心年轻男性，“他正不懈努力创造就业机会、降低通货膨胀、提高住房可负担性等等。”
曾帮助特朗普竞选团队瞄准年轻男性的媒体顾问约翰·布拉本德（John Brabender）表示，如果11月大选中没有特朗普的参选，共和党候选人需要更好地谈论减税和其他直接惠及20多岁人群的政策，而不是像股市表现这类宽泛指标。
“我首先要说的是，我们集体在……直接触动更年轻一代的内心和思想方面做得很差，”布拉本德说道。
布拉本德的评论呼应了共和党议员、党内策略师和白宫官员的担忧，他们表示总统需要将更多精力放在经济政策宣传上，而非外交政策。民调显示，经济是选民最关心的问题。
新罕布什尔州争夺年轻选民的战役
新罕布什尔州参议院一个空缺席位的竞选，凸显了争夺年轻选民注意力的激烈程度。该席位是民主党在11月必须捍卫的四个关键席位之一。
民主党领跑者、美国众议员克里斯·帕帕斯（Chris Pappas）于10月开设了一个TikTok账号，并一直在努力积累粉丝，发布了多条针对住房成本高企的帖子——这是年轻选民的主要关切点。
“如果你问20多岁的人关于买房的事，这似乎是遥不可及的梦想，”帕帕斯在采访中表示，“我们必须让更多人实现这个梦想。”
帕帕斯竞选团队计划举办一系列与网络影响力者合作的活动，以吸引年轻选民。
寻求共和党提名的前参议员斯科特·布朗（Scott Brown）告诉路透社，他的个人爱好——包括在一支摇滚乐队弹吉他和担任高中篮球教练——帮助他与年轻选民建立联系。
“对我来说，和别人一起打篮球或者上台和十几岁的孩子即兴表演并不难，”布朗补充道，他的两名员工（17岁和26岁）是“社交媒体专家”，帮助他提升线上存在感。
布朗将于本月在新罕布什尔州政治研究所（圣安塞尔姆学院内）发表演讲，该研究所是该早期总统初选州的政治讨论中心。
学生们每天都会经过这里上课，走廊里挂满了来访总统的照片，过去的房间里则陈列着半个多世纪的政治纪念品，其中大部分来自两党关系更为融洽的时代。
接受路透社采访的几名学生表示，他们渴望回归更文明的政治对话。尽管支持特朗普的许多政策，但他们不喜欢他尖刻的风格——他将民主党人或其他批评者视为敌人。所有人都表示，11月仍可能继续支持共和党。
19岁的大一新生泰勒·德莱尼（Tyler Delaney）表示，如果民主党如预期般控制众议院，特朗普的分裂性做法将自食其果。
“到了需要两党合作的时候了，我认为这在中期选举后会给特朗普带来沉重打击。”
路透社记者内森·莱尼（Nathan Layne）和 Aleksandra Michalska 报道，杰森·兰格（Jason Lange）在华盛顿补充报道；罗斯·科尔文（Ross Colvin）和阿利斯泰尔·贝尔（Alistair Bell）编辑
我们的标准：汤森路透信托原则（opens new tab）
Ahead of midterms, Republicans confront cooling support from young men over Trump policies
March 9, 2026 10:05 AM UTC / Reuters
By Nathan Layne and Aleksandra Michalska
Item 1 of 3 Sophomore Michael Leary, 19, poses for pictures at Saint Anselm College, after being interviewed as part of a panel of students about their views on the U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration, in Manchester, New Hampshire, U.S., March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Aleksandra Michalska
[1/3]Sophomore Michael Leary, 19, poses for pictures at Saint Anselm College, after being interviewed as part of a panel of students about their views on the U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration, in Manchester, New Hampshire, U.S., March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Aleksandra Michalska Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
- Summary
- Companies
- College students who voted for Trump express mixed feelings about his second term
- Key frustrations include rising living costs, student debt, and immigration enforcement tactics
- Analysts warn Republicans may struggle to retain young male voters in midterms
MANCHESTER, New Hampshire, March 9 (Reuters) – In a college library lined with volumes on America’s greatest presidents, six young men who voted for Donald Trump gathered to size up his second term. Their verdicts ranged from guarded approval to disappointment, reflecting growing tension in a demographic that helped propel Trump to victory in 2024.
While the students form a very small sample size, their mixed reviews – including criticism of what several called overly harsh immigration enforcement and frustration over rising prices – mirror a broader shift in national polling that shows the Republican president is losing ground with young men.
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Public opinion polling suggests that this softening of support, part of a broader unhappiness among Americans over Trump’s policies, threatens Republicans’ hopes of retaining their slim majorities in the Senate and House of Representatives.
Analysts who track the youth vote told Reuters many young men report feeling little tangible improvement in their economic prospects since Trump returned to office in January 2025.
Sitting with five classmates in the political library at Saint Anselm College in New Hampshire, 20-year-old sophomore Tyler Witzgall captured a sentiment common among his peers: The president, for all his accomplishments, has fallen short on issues shaping their daily lives, like high prices.
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“I’m still going to graduate and be in an enormous amount of debt. I won’t be able to buy a home for a while,” Witzgall said, grading Trump a C or C-plus, describing his disappointment in the president’s efforts to tackle domestic economic issues.
None of the students said they regretted their vote, viewing the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee, then Vice President Kamala Harris, as a continuation of a presidency they associated with unchecked immigration and spiraling costs.
Yet even solid Trump backers like Ian Pomfret, a 20-year-old sophomore, joined others in the student panel criticizing what he describes as overly aggressive tactics used by Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents implementing Trump’s crackdown.
“The ICE thing is a huge problem,” Pomfret said, pointing to the two U.S. citizens killed by federal agents in Minneapolis. “I feel like there is a better way of going about it than raiding and killing and instant deportation.”
Pomfret still broadly supports Trump, grading him a B-plus.
Last month, some 33% of men aged 18-29 approved of Trump’s performance in the White House, down from 43% in February 2025, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling. Trump garnered the support of 46% of young males in the 2024 presidential election, up 7 points from 2020, according to exit polling analyzed by Pew Research.
A party strategist who works on House races pointed to a CBS News survey in February showing that 43% of young voters view Republican positions as “mainstream”, and said the party could still secure midterm wins if it captures at least 40% of the youth vote.
Turnout among young voters is historically low in midterm elections, with only a quarter casting a ballot in 2022, half the overall rate.
Still, young voters can tip close races, as in 2018 when a wave of mass shootings spurred youth turnout and helped flip more than a dozen congressional seats to the Democrats, according to John Della Volpe, a pollster who specializes in the Gen Z vote.
“All evidence in the last 15 or 16 months is that this cohort cannot be counted on at this stage to be reliable Republican voters,” Della Volpe said. “Mostly because they haven’t felt tangible improvements in their day-to-day lives.”
RNC FOLLOWS TRUMP TO TIKTOK
Trump’s pledges in his 2024 campaign to curb inflation, boost economic growth, and toughen immigration enforcement helped attract young males to his MAGA movement. A string of attention-grabbing moves, like attending a sneaker event, sitting down with popular podcasters like Joe Rogan and Theo Von and posting content on TikTok, also enhanced his standing with younger men, political analysts said.
Last month, the Republican National Committee, the party’s governing body, launched its own account on TikTok, which is used by six in 10 Americans under 30, according to Pew Research.
White House spokesman Davis Ingle said no other president has done more for young men than Trump “who is working tirelessly to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more.”
John Brabender, a media consultant who helped the Trump campaign target young men in 2024, said without Trump on the ballot in November, Republican candidates will need to do a better job of talking about tax cuts and other policies that directly benefit someone in their 20s, rather than broad indicators like how the stock market is performing.
“I will be the first to say that collectively we’ve done a poor job of … communicating directly to the hearts and minds of people at a much younger age,” Brabender said.
Brabender’s comments echo concerns being expressed by Republican lawmakers, party strategists and White House aides who say the president needs to give more priority to his economic messaging and less to foreign policy. The economy is the top issue for voters, polls show.
NEW HAMPSHIRE BATTLE FOR YOUNG VOTERS
The battle for the attention of young voters can be seen in the race for an open Senate seat in New Hampshire, one of four competitive seats in the chamber that Democrats must defend in November.
U.S. Representative Chris Pappas, the Democratic frontrunner, launched a TikTok account in October and has been working to build a following, with several posts addressing the high cost of housing, a key concern for young voters.
“If you ask someone in their 20s about owning a home, that seems like a far-off notion,” Pappas said in an interview. “We’ve got to make that dream within reach of more people.”
The Pappas campaign plans to host a series of events with online influencers to help engage with younger voters.
Former Senator Scott Brown, who is seeking the Republican nomination, told Reuters that his own hobbies – including playing guitar in a rock band and coaching high school basketball – help him connect with younger voters.
“It’s not a stretch for me to walk in and start playing hoops with somebody or get up on stage and jam with some teenagers,” said Brown, adding that two staffers, ages 17 and 26, were “social media whizzes” and helping build his presence online.
Brown will speak this month at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm, a hub for political discussion in the early presidential primary state.
Students pass through the institute each day for classes, walking hallways decorated with photographs of presidents who have visited and past rooms filled with more than half a century of political memorabilia, much of it from an era of more convivial bipartisanship.
Several of the students interviewed by Reuters said they longed for a return to more civil discourse. While backing many of Trump’s policies, they disliked his caustic style, in which he casts Democrats or other critics as the enemy. All said they were still likely to vote Republican in November.
Tyler Delaney, a 19-year-old freshman, said the divisiveness of Trump’s approach will come back to bite him if the Democrats, as expected, take control of the House.
“It gets to a point where you need to have some bipartisanship, and I think that’s gonna hit Trump hard after the midterms.”
Reporting by Nathan Layne and Aleksandra Michalska in Manchester and Jason Lange in Washington; Editing by Ross Colvin and Alistair Bell
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