2026年2月28日 / 美国东部时间上午11:44 / CBS新闻
在美军空袭伊朗的消息公布前完成的民调显示，大多数美国人认为美国至少应该以某种形式向伊朗领导层施压或进行接触。
在空袭开始前的几天里，支持美国采取军事行动以阻止伊朗制造核武器的态度有所转变；这一变化发生在本周2月24日特朗普总统发表国情咨文演讲之后。
其结果是，美国在冲突开始时对此存在分歧。
公众普遍不确定与伊朗的冲突会持续多久。更多人认为冲突将持续数月甚至数年，而非仅几天或几周。支持者则倾向于认为冲突会很短。
这为当前局势的发展提供了背景。
对潜在冲突持续时间的看法与美国人是否支持军事行动密切相关：那些认为冲突会很快结束的人倾向于支持军事行动（在行动开始前），而认为冲突会持续很长时间的人则反对。
关于伊朗执政政权，更多人支持美国采取经济或外交压力，而非使用军事力量将其推翻。无论哪种方式，绝大多数美国人都认为美国应该以某种形式介入。
绝大多数人认为国会需要批准军事行动。
在国情咨文演讲后，认为总统解释了美国立场的美国人数量略有增加，但截至行动开始时，他仍未获得大多数美国人的认可。
空袭前，总统对伊朗问题的处理支持率略高于其整体支持率，但仍为净负面。
有背景显示，在过去几十年的CBS新闻民调中，伊朗或其潜在核能力在公众心目中一直被视为某种威胁，尽管许多人认为这一威胁可以通过外交途径遏制或解决。去年夏天，当美国对伊朗核设施发动空袭时，舆论呈现党派分歧，大多数共和党人表示支持。
美国经济
总统在国情咨文中表达的对经济的乐观态度并未得到大多数美国人的认同。
对未来一年经济的预期是增长放缓，甚至衰退，这种预期已持续一段时间。美国经济的整体评级仍为净负面。
事实上，相当多的人认为总统描述的通胀情况比实际情况要好。
空袭伊朗前，特朗普先生的问题支持率与国情咨文演讲前基本一致。他的整体支持率近几周相当稳定，比国情咨文演讲前略有上升。
*
本CBS新闻/舆观（YouGov）民调基于对2,264名美国成年人的全国代表性样本进行，调查时间为2026年2月25日至27日。样本根据美国人口普查局美国社区调查和当前人口调查以及2024年总统选举结果，按性别、年龄、种族和教育程度进行加权，以反映全国成年人的情况。误差幅度为±2.5个百分点。
要点
CBS News poll on Americans’ views on Iran prior to conflict
February 28, 2026 / 11:44 AM EST / CBS News
In polling completed just before news of the U.S. airstrikes on Iran, most Americans thought the U.S. should be at least pressuring or engaging the Iranian leadership in some form.
And in the days before the strikes began, there was movement toward approval of a U.S. military action specifically to stop them from making nuclear weapons; that change came after President Trump’s State of the Union address earlier this week, on Feb. 24.
The effect of that was that the nation went into the start of the conflict split about it.
The public had voiced a collective uncertainty about how long a conflict with Iran would last. More thought it would last months or even years, rather than just days or weeks. Supporters tended to think it would be short.
That sets some context as it now unfolds.
Views on the duration of a potential conflict were tied closely to whether Americans said they would back military action or not: Those who thought the conflict would be quick tended to favor military action (prior to the start), but those who thought it would take a long time were opposed.
With regard to the Iranian ruling regime, more favored U.S. economic or diplomatic pressure, rather than military force to remove them. Either way, a substantial majority of Americans thought the U.S. ought to be engaging in some form.
People overwhelmingly did think that Congress would need to approve military action.
The number of Americans who felt the president had explained the U.S. position ticked up a bit following the State of the Union, but as of the start of the action, he still hadn’t satisfied a large majority of Americans.
Before the strikes, the president’s approval for his handling of Iran was a bit higher than his overall approval, though still net negative.
For context, in CBS News polling going back decades, Iran or its potential nuclear capability has in some form been seen as a threat in the public mind, though often one that many felt could be contained or addressed diplomatically. Last summer, when the U.S. conducted airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities, views were partisan, with most Republicans approving.
The U.S. economy
The optimism about the economy that the president expressed in the State of the Union isn’t shared by most Americans.
Expectations for the next year are for a slowing economy, or even recession, and that has been the case for a while. Overall ratings of the U.S. economy continue to be net-negative.
In fact, a sizable majority continue to think the president describes things with inflation as better than they actually are.
Before the strikes on Iran, Mr. Trump’s issue approval ratings were in line with what they were just prior to his State of the Union address. His overall approval had been fairly stable in recent weeks, and a point up from just before the State of the Union.
*
This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted with a nationally representative sample of 2,264 U.S. adults interviewed between February 25-27, 2026. The sample was weighted to be representative of adults nationwide according to gender, age, race, and education, based on the U.S. Census American Community Survey and Current Population Survey, as well as 2024 presidential vote. The margin of error is ±2.5 points.
Toplines
发表回复