发布时间：2026年2月25日，美国东部时间凌晨2:00 / 来源：美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
分析报道 by [斯蒂芬·科林森]
31分钟前
周二晚间，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普先是出席了一场曲棍球胜利派对，随后便发表了国情咨文演讲。
在他一年一度的报告中，特朗普在开场段落里编织了一幅关于“全球最火热国家”的民族团结、繁荣昌盛和美国伟大的图景，而此时他的支持率正接近历史低点。他惯常地寻找一线希望并非只是作秀——他需要利用自己今年最大的电视观众群，赢回那些对他曾经在移民和经济政策方面优势感到不满的美国人。
总统从众议院旁听席上美国奥运金牌曲棍球队（美国男子冰球队）成员那里获得灵感——他们在周日完成了一项罕见壮举，在这个饱受折磨的政治时代里，让红蓝两党美国人都有欢呼的理由。
演讲中穿插了对美国英雄们熟练而动人的致敬——这常常像一场颁奖典礼，也像是今年晚些时候美国250周年庆典的爱国预演。特朗普通过颁发荣誉（包括向一位100岁的朝鲜战争老兵致敬）以及让一名妇女与被从委内瑞拉监狱释放的叔叔团聚，来缓和自己尖刻的形象。
“我们的国家再次赢了。事实上，我们赢太多了，以至于我们真不知道该怎么办了，”特朗普说，“人们问我，‘求求你，总统先生，我们赢太多了，我们受不了了。’”
真实的特朗普不会长期隐藏
然而，当这场创纪录时长的国情咨文演讲进入第二个小时时，那个“真实的特朗普”又回来了。总统抨击民主党人不为他起立欢呼，称他们“病态”，并通过对无证移民的长篇大论和选举舞弊的虚假指控，提醒部分选民为何不喜欢他。
尽管如此，形象对年迈的连任总统仍至关重要。特朗普展现出了活力和精力，掌控着国会大厦，并强调尽管他极具分裂性，但他仍是美国占主导地位的政治人物。除了一些尖刻的旁敲侧击，特朗普努力控制自己的脾气和情绪。那些担心他会发表漫无边际愤怒长篇大论的共和党人会感到欣慰，至少他为最忠实的选民提供了他们最想要的信息版本。
对于79岁的特朗普来说，平息“他正逐渐沦为跛脚鸭”的背景叙事尤为重要——尤其是在最高法院周五驳回他的关税政策后，这是他重返白宫以来遭受的最严重失败。特朗普大声疾呼，当他宣称自己“创造了一个时代的转折点”时，麦克风的声音都失真了。
但当特朗普乘坐他的“野兽”豪华轿车前往国会山时，萦绕在他心头的问题是：他能否扭转共和党人在距离中期选举还有九个月时趋势不佳的政治轨迹。
本周一项新的CNN/SSRS民调显示，只有32%的美国人认为他有正确的优先事项。他的成年人支持率已降至仅36%。
因此，特朗普必须向选民证明，尤其是那些在他以罕见的非连续任期回归时仍记得他的人，他有解决方案——尤其是针对多年来困扰他们的可负担性危机。
选择性描绘一个困境中的国家
虽然特朗普在周二确实创造了一些真正感人的时刻，但很难让人相信他已经改变了人们对其领导能力的负面看法，而这正是共和党人担心今年11月会发生崩溃的原因。
总统确实有一些好的经济消息可以分享。他是对的，通货膨胀率低于拜登政府创纪录的峰值。鸡蛋价格——他最喜欢的经济指标之一——已经下降，因为禽流感疫情后农场正在重新补充禽群。
然而，他对经济复苏的宣称往往是选择性的。食品价格对大多数美国选民来说仍然高得令人不安。他承诺要彻底改革医疗保健——尽管他在白宫五年间每年都这么说，却从未通过国会提出过一项严肃的提案。
他声称大幅降低处方药价格的说法夸大了其提案的影响，却忽略了他任内导致《平价医疗法案》补贴到期，数百万民众因此难以负担医疗费用的事实。
选民会通过自己的生活经历来审视这位“推销员总统”的承诺。对许多人来说，他所谓的新经济“黄金时代”在他们下次去超市时就会破灭。
特朗普践踏他的团结信息
特朗普在能找到敌人时政治上就会兴旺。
“是你们造成了这个问题，”当他猛烈抨击可负担性问题时，对众议院民主党人说道。但选民在2024年11月已经对前总统乔·拜登政府做出了裁决。
特朗普本可以扭转局面——只要他每周每天都致力于解决可负担性问题，或许可以在杂货店外举行集会，或者把国会议员拉到白宫哄骗他们通过法案。
但他更多时间是利用政府向政敌寻求报复，威胁美国盟友，并在社交媒体上倾泻恶毒言论，而非共情生活成本问题。
而熟悉感可能正在滋生蔑视。他在国家政治心理中主导了十多年。到现在，可能没有多少美国人还没有下定论。周二的演讲似乎没有让那些在2024年抛弃民主党转而支持他、并扩大了共和党联盟的黑人男性、西班牙裔和独立选民放心。
而且，他演讲的时间越长，就越削弱了他的团结信息。他对索马里移民的猛烈抨击让人联想到明尼苏达州移民与海关执法局（ICE）人员对峙的近期事件，这疏远了许多独立选民。特朗普没有提及被联邦特工杀害的雷妮·古德（Renee Good）和亚历克斯·普雷蒂（Alex Pretti）。
他花了很长时间为大多数选民不喜欢的政策辩护，比如正在推高成本的关税。特朗普通过重提他2020年选举获胜的虚假说法，为美国民主注入了新的毒素，并似乎为11月的新选举混乱埋下了伏笔。“他们作弊了，他们的政策太糟糕了，以至于他们唯一能当选的方式就是作弊，”他这样描述民主党人。
特朗普的演讲发生在自2003年伊拉克入侵以来美国在中东的最大军事集结之际，与伊朗的新对峙一触即发。
“我绝不会允许世界上最大的恐怖主义支持者（他们确实是）拥有核武器。绝不能让这种情况发生，”他说，但没有解释如果他声称去年的一次美国突袭已经“摧毁”了这种野心，这如何可能实现。特朗普说他希望达成协议，但这位最初发誓不再发动对外战争的总统似乎越来越可能发动新的战争。
特朗普周二晚上需要讲述一个全新的故事。
但他最终证明，虽然这个国家可以团结起来为新的“冰上奇迹”欢呼，但政治上的团结仍然是一个不可能实现的梦想。
Trump staged a State of the Union spectacle. But he couldn’t escape political gravity
Published Feb 25, 2026, 2:00 AM ET / Source: CNN
Analysis by
[Stephen Collinson]
31 min ago
President Donald Trump went to a hockey victory party on Tuesday night and a State of the Union Address broke out.
Trump weaved a pageant of national unity, rampant prosperity and American greatness in the opening stanzas of his annual report on “the hottest country in the world” at a moment when his popularity is near historic lows. His habitual search for silver linings wasn’t just for show. He needed to use his biggest TV audience of the year to win back Americans souring on his one-time strengths on immigration and economic policy.
The president took inspiration from members of the Olympic gold medal-winning Team USA men’s hockey team in the gallery of the House of Representatives — who Sunday pulled off the rare feat in a tortured political age of giving both red and blue America something to cheer.
Skillful, moving tributes to American heroes punctuated the speech — that often resembled an awards ceremony and a patriotic dress rehearsal for America’s 250th anniversary celebrations later this year. Trump leavened his abrasive image by doling out honors,including to a 100-year-old Korean War Veteran, and reunited a woman with her uncle who was freed from a prison in Venezeuela.
“Our country is winning again. In fact, we’re winning so much that we really don’t know what to do about it,” Trump said. “People are asking me, ‘Please, please, please, Mister President, we’re winning too much. We can’t take it anymore.’”
The true Trump doesn’t stay hidden for long
Yet as the longest-ever State of the Union address dragged deep into its second hour, the old Trump was back. The president lashed out at Democrats for not standing to cheer him, branding them “sick” and reminding some voters why they don’t like him — with tirades against undocumented migrants and false claims of election cheating.
Still, optics are important for aging, second term presidents. And Trump projected energy and vigor, commanding the chamber and underscoring, for all his divisiveness, that he’s still the nation’s dominant political personality. Apart from some bitter asides, Trump managed to control his temper and mood. Republicans who fear his rambling angry tirades will be relieved that he at least gave the best possible rendition of their message for their most devoted voters.
It was especially important for the 79-year-old to quell a background narrative that he’s increasingly a lame duck, especially after the Supreme Court Friday triggered his fury by knocking back his tariffs in the worst defeat since he returned to the White House. Trump shouted so loudly, as when he proclaimed he’d engineered “a turnaround for the ages,” that he distorted the sound from his microphone.
But the question dogging the president as he rode up to Capitol Hill in his Beast limousine was whether he could change the political trajectory of a year that is trending poorly for Republicans nine months before midterm elections.
A new CNN/SSRS poll this week showed just 32% of Americans think he has the right priorities. His approval rating among adults has dipped to just 36%.
So, it was imperative for Trump to demonstrate to voters who recalled him for a rare non-consecutive second term that he has answers — especially on the crisis of affordability that has hounded them for years.
A selective picture of a hurting country
But while Trump conjured truly affecting moments Tuesday, it was hard to believe that he’d transformed negative perceptions of his leadership that has Republicans fearing a meltdown in November.
The President does have some good economic news to share. He’s right that inflation is lower than at the record-breaking peaks of the Biden administration. The price of eggs — one of his favorite staple economic metrics — is down — as farmers restock their flocks after an avian flu epidemic.
Yet often, his claims for an economic resurgence were selective. Grocery prices are still higher than is comfortable for most American voters. He promised to overhaul health care — as he’s being doing for each of his five years in the White House — although has never advanced a serious proposal through Congress.
His claims to have slashed the prices of prescription drugs overstates the impact of the proposal and ignores the way he’s presided over the expiry of Affordable Care Act subsidies that has made health care unaffordable for millions of people.
Voters will filter the salesman president’s promises through their lived experience. For many, his claim of a new economic “golden age” won’t survive their next trips to the supermarket.
Trump tramples his message of unity
Trump prospers politically when he can identify an enemy.
“You caused that problem,” he told Democrats in the House chamber as he fulminated about affordability. But voters delivered their verdicts on former President Joe Biden’s administration in November 2024.
Trump could turn this around — by spending every day of every week until the midterm elections working to address affordability — perhaps with rallies outside grocery stores or by hauling lawmakers down to the White House to cajole them into passing bills.
But he spends more time using government to seek vengeance against his enemies, threatening American allies, and churning out vitriol on his social media feeds than he does in empathizing with the cost of living.
And familiarity may be breeding contempt. He’s dominated the national political psyche for more than a decade. By now, there can’t be many Americans who’ve not made up their minds. And there seemed little in Tuesday’s speech to reassure Black male, Hispanic and independent voters who ditched Democrats for him in 2024 and expanded his coalition to stick with the GOP next time.
And the longer he spoke, Trump undermined his message of unity. His fierce attacks on Somali migrants invoked the recent showdown between ICE agents and protestors in Minnesota that alienated many independent voters. Trump did not mention Renee Good and Alex Pretti who were killed by federal agents.
He spent long minutes defending policies that a majority of voters’ dislike. Like tariffs — that are helping to spike costs. And Trump injected new poison into American democracy by reviving his false claims he won the 2020 election and seemed to lay the groundwork for a new election morass in November. “They have cheated, and their policy is so bad that the only way they can get elected is to cheat,” he said of Democrats.
Trump’s address took place amid the biggest US military build-up in the Middle East since the invasion of Iraq in 2003 as a new showdown looms with Iran.
“I will never allow the world’s number one sponsor of terror, which they are, by far, to have a nuclear weapon. Can’t let that happen,” he said, without explaining how this was possible given he claims to have “obliterated” such aspirations in a US raid last year. Trump says he wants a deal. But the president who first came to office vowing no more foreign wars looks increasingly likely to start a new one.
Trump needed to tell a fresh story Tuesday night.
But he ended up demonstrating instead that while the country can unite to cheer a new Miracle on Ice, a political coming together remains an impossible dream.
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