2026-02-24T21:44:00-0500 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
哥伦比亚广播公司新闻正在核查特朗普总统周二晚间发表的2026年国情咨文。总统正在吹嘘他第一年的施政成果,并规划今年中期选举(11月)前的施政议程。
以下是总统在演讲中提出的一些说法,以及哥伦比亚广播公司对这些说法的核实和背景信息:
真实:特朗普称谋杀率创历史最大降幅
“去年,谋杀率创下了有记录以来最大的降幅。要知道,这是历史上最大的降幅——是125年来的最低值。”
细节:
- 独立研究人员的初步数据表明,2025年凶杀案可能降至125年来的最低水平,尽管美国联邦调查局(FBI)2025年的官方年度犯罪报告要到今年晚些时候才会发布。
- 刑事司法委员会(CCJ)1月份的一项研究发现,2025年凶杀率有可能降至约每10万人4起,这将是自1900年以来执法或公共卫生数据中记录的最低值。根据FBI的年度报告,凶杀率自2022年以来一直在下降。
- CCJ的报告还指出,去年凶杀率下降的原因尚不清楚,但研究人员表示,可能的影响因素包括”刑事司法政策和项目的变化、技术使用的转变,以及更广泛的社会、经济和文化趋势”。
作者:劳拉·多恩
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部分真实:特朗普称过去9个月美国未接纳任何非法移民
“在过去的九个月里,美国没有接纳任何非法移民。”
细节:
特朗普先生可能指的是美国边境巡逻队在非法越境后释放的移民人数。
在过去九个月里,美国海关和边境保护局报告称,美国南部边境的边境巡逻队没有释放任何移民。
这并不一定意味着自特朗普上任以来,每一个非法进入美国的移民都被驱逐了。
一些最初被边境巡逻队逮捕、随后被移交给移民和海关执法局监管的移民,可能会被该局释放,尽管特朗普政府试图禁止那些非法进入美国的人获得保释资格。
边境巡逻队的数据也没有统计那些通过秘密方式非法进入美国、未被边境巡逻队特工抓获的移民。在特朗普的第二个任期内,所谓的”逃脱者”中有多少被记录在案,目前尚不清楚。
总体而言,在特朗普的第二个任期内,非法越境人数大幅下降,在2025财年降至1970年以来的最低水平。尽管如此,每月仍有数千名移民继续非法进入美国。政府数据显示,1月份,边境巡逻队在南部边境抓获了约6000名非法越境的移民。
作者:卡米洛·蒙托亚-加夫列尔
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误导性:特朗普称现在工作的美国人比美国历史上任何时候都多
“现在工作的美国人比我国历史上任何时候都多。想想看——在我国历史上的任何时候,现在都有更多人在工作。而且在我的政府任期内创造的所有就业岗位中,100%都是私营部门的。”
细节:
美国劳工统计局的初步数据显示,截至2026年1月,美国大约有1.586亿人就业,这比有记录以来的任何时候都要多。但就业总人数通常会随着人口增长而增加。2025年1月拜登总统卸任时,大约有1.57亿人就业。
经济学家通常依靠就业率来比较不同时期的劳动力市场状况,过去一年这一比例基本持平。1月份的劳动力参与率为62.5%,与2024年12月(拜登任期的最后一个完整月份)的水平相同。
与此同时,在特朗普任内,失业率从2024年12月的4.1%上升到4.3%。
作者:亚伦·纳瓦罗
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虚假/无证据支持:特朗普称他已为美国争取到18万亿美元的新投资
“在漫长的四年里,上一届政府在美国获得的新投资不到1万亿美元。我说的’不到’,是实质上少得多。在12个月内,我就争取到了超过18万亿美元的承诺投资,来自全球各地。”
细节:
- 根据美国经济分析局的数据,在拜登四年任期内,新的外国直接投资确实不到1万亿美元。
- 但哥伦比亚广播公司新闻的审查发现,没有证据表明总承诺投资或新投资达到了总统所说的规模。18万亿美元的新投资将占美国GDP的近60%。
- 截至11月最新更新时,特朗普政府列出的”在特朗普总统领导下促成的”主要投资承诺清单总额为9.6万亿美元,但即使这个数字也被夸大了,其中包括一些拜登任内宣布的投资。
- 此外,联邦数据显示,企业投资水平与去年相似,美国公司有望在2025年投资超过5万亿美元。总体而言,自疫情结束以来,企业投资一直在上升。
作者:朱伊·萨尔瓦特
Fact checking Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address
2026-02-24T21:44:00-0500 / CBS News
CBS News is fact checking President Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address Tuesday night. The president is touting his first-year accomplishments and plans for his agenda this year, in the months before the midterm elections in November.
Here are some of the claims the president made during his speech, and CBS News’ ratings and context for those claims:
True: Trump claims murder rate saw its largest decline in recorded history last year
“Last year, the murder rate saw its single largest decline in recorded history. This is the biggest decline, think of it, in recorded history — the lowest number in over 125 years.”
Details:
- Preliminary data from independent researchers suggests that homicides may have hit an 125-year low last year, although the FBI’s official annual crime report for 2025 will not be released until later this year.
- A January study by the Council on Criminal Justice, or CCJ, found a “strong possibility” that the 2025 homicide rate will drop to about 4 per 100,000 residents, which would be the lowest recorded in law enforcement or public health data dating back to 1900. The homicide rate has been declining since 2022, according to annual FBI reports.
- The CCJ report also noted that the reasons for last year’s decline are not clear, but researchers say possible influences include “changes in criminal justice policies and programs, shifts in the use of technology, and broader social, economic, and cultural trends.”
By Laura Doan
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Partially true: Trump claims that in the past 9 months, no illegal immigrants have been admitted into the U.S.
“In the past nine months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted to the United States.”
Details:
Mr. Trump is likely referring to the number of migrants released by Border Patrol after crossing the U.S.-Mexico border illegally.
Over the past nine months, U.S. Customs and Border Protection has reported zero releases of migrants by Border Patrol along the U.S. southern border.
That does not necessarily mean every single migrant who has entered the U.S. illegally since Mr. Trump took office has been deported.
Some migrants initially arrested by Border Patrol and then transferred to the custody of Immigration and Customs Enforcement could be released by that agency, though the Trump administration has sought to bar those who entered the U.S. illegally from being eligible for bond.
Border Patrol’s numbers also do not account for migrants who enter the U.S. illegally surreptitiously, without being caught by Border Patrol agents. It’s unclear how many of those so-called “got-aways” have been recorded under the second Trump administration.
Overall, illegal border crossings have plummeted under Mr. Trump’s second administration, falling to the lowest level since 1970 in fiscal year 2025. Still, thousands of migrants continue crossing into the U.S. illegally each month. In January, Border Patrol apprehended roughly 6,000 migrants after they crossed the southern border unlawfully, government data show.
By Camilo Montoya-Galvez
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Misleading: Trump claims more Americans working today than at any time in U.S. history
“More Americans are working today than at any time in the history of our country. Think about that — any time in the history of our country, more working today. And 100% of all jobs created under my administration have been in the private sector.”
Details:
Preliminary data from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics show there are roughly 158.6 million people employed in the U.S., as of January 2026, which is more than at any other point on record. But the total number of employed people usually rises as the population grows. About 157 million people were employed when President Joe Biden left office in January 2025.
Economists generally rely on the share of people working to compare labor market strength over time, which has remained largely flat over the past year. The labor force participation rate sat at 62.5% in January, which is identical to the rate in December 2024, Biden’s last full month in office.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate has ticked up under Mr. Trump to 4.3% from 4.1% in December 2024.
By Aaron Navarro
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False/not supported: Trump claims he’s secured $18 trillion in new investment in the U.S.
“In four long years, the last administration got less than $1 trillion in new investment in the United States. And when I say less, substantially less. In 12 months, I secured commitments for more than $18 trillion, pouring in from all over the globe.”
Details:
- According to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, new foreign direct investments over Biden’s four years in office did add up to less than $1 trillion.
- But a CBS News review found no evidence that total commitments or new investments approach the scale the president has cited. New investment of $18 trillion would represent almost 60% of U.S. GDP.
- The administration’s own list of major investment commitments “made possible by President Trump’s leadership” totaled $9.6 trillion as of the latest update in November, but even that figure is exaggerated and includes some investments announced while Biden was president.
- Additionally, federal data shows corporate investment levels are similar to levels last year, with U.S. companies on track to invest over $5 trillion in 2025. Overall, since the end of the pandemic, corporate investment has been rising.
By Jui Sarwate
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