商界庆祝战胜特朗普关税,但退款仍需时日


2026年2月20日 美国东部时间下午4:02 / 路透社

作者:阿丽亚娜·麦克利莫尔、尼古拉斯·P·布朗和亚历山大·马罗

[1/2] 2025年11月5日,美国加利福尼亚州威尔明顿市洛杉矶港,一辆半挂卡车驶过中国集装箱。路透社/迈克·布莱克/资料图片

  • 摘要
  • 企业
  • 最高法院裁决可能导致1750亿美元关税退款
  • 企业面临流程缓慢,或出售退款权利
  • 关税仍影响消费者,90%成本由美国人承担
  • 企业面临复杂退款物流,涉及美国国际贸易法院
  • 特朗普誓言加征更多关税,给跨国公司带来不确定性

纽约/伦敦,2月20日(路透社)- 数千家企业在联邦最高法院推翻白宫紧急关税的裁决中赢得了一场艰苦的胜利,但退款流程才刚刚开始。

这一可能在全球经济中产生多年影响的裁决认定,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普无权依据1977年《国际紧急经济权力法》对进口商品征收广泛关税。

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企业界数月来一直在适应特朗普不断变化的贸易政策,他将关税作为核心工具,不仅用于解决贸易问题,还用来施压其他国家的政策和行动。

然而,特朗普在裁决后的激烈新闻发布会上誓言将动用更多权力加征关税,包括对所有进口商品征收10%的临时税,这让企业面临进一步挑战。

尽管如此,许多企业和行业协会仍对更可预测的贸易政策抱有谨慎希望。宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿预算模型经济学家周五表示,数千家公司(不仅是提起诉讼的企业)现在将决定是否申请退款,这意味着可能退还超过1750亿美元的美国关税收入。

玩具制造商Learning Resources首席执行官里克·沃尔登伯格表示:“如果国家需要收入,就应该在国会进行辩论。我很兴奋,希望这是每个人都认为自己赢了的胜利。这是所有人的胜利。”

不确定性依然存在


受影响企业的股价在消息公布后最初上涨,但因贸易政策不确定性而回落。塔吉特(Target)和蔻驰母公司Tapestry的股价在下午交易中略有上涨。

国际商会秘书长约翰·登顿表示,退款流程可能交由美国国际贸易法院处理,这意味着索赔可能在行政层面非常复杂。他补充说,法院裁决对这一问题“令人担忧地保持沉默”。

自去年4月以来,已有超过1800起与关税相关的诉讼提交给美国国际贸易法院,该法院对关税和海关事务拥有管辖权,而2024年全年此类案件不到24起。

在特朗普召开新闻发布会之前,众多律师和商业协会就预料到他会有此举动。一些人表示,这一裁决及特朗普后续行动将在未来几个月增加更多不确定性。

惠誉评级美国经济主管奥卢·索尼拉表示:“关税以修订形式重新出现的可能性仍然很大。再加上潜在的关税退款,将带来复杂的运营和法律问题,加剧经济不确定性。”

众多行业受影响


消费品、汽车、制造业和服装等行业的企业受到特别严重冲击,因为它们依赖中国、越南、印度等采购枢纽的低成本生产。特朗普的关税提高了成品和零部件的进口成本,压缩了利润率并扰乱了精细调整的全球供应链。

主要原告包括日本丰田集团子公司、美国大型零售商好市多(Costco)、轮胎制造商固特异(Goodyear Tire & Rubber)、铝业公司美铝(Alcoa)、日本摩托车制造商川崎重工(Kawasaki Motors)以及巴黎上市的眼镜巨头依视路陆逊梯卡(EssilorLuxottica)。

纽约联邦储备银行上周估计,特朗普关税的90%由美国消费者和企业承担,而白宫毫无证据地声称这些税款由外国人支付。截至11月,美国实际有效关税税率为11.7%,而2022-2024年间平均为2.7%(耶鲁预算实验室数据)。

此外,汽车行业将继续面临《国际紧急经济权力法》未涵盖的显著关税。例如,去年基于国家安全理由对从墨西哥和加拿大进口的车辆征收了25%的进口关税。

图表:1790年至今美国有效关税税率折线图

然而,律师表示,可能还有更多来自受特朗普互惠关税影响国家的汽车零部件进入美国,这些关税增加了零部件供应商和汽车制造商的成本。

一些律师称,全球更多公司可能等到法院裁决后才提起诉讼,以免引起白宫的不满。它们将加入等待数月甚至数年以收回数十亿美元进口关税的企业行列。

加州汽车轮毂制造商The Wheel Group首席执行官韦德·川崎表示,该公司在《国际紧急经济权力法》关税下面临约20%的额外成本,计划申请退款,这意味着需要团队梳理数千笔交易以“确定应退还多少金额”。

据路透社12月报道,一些美国公司选择将获取退款的权利出售给外部投资者,换取约25-30美分/美元的预付款,而放弃剩余部分。

德国物流公司敦豪(DHL)表示,将利用其技术确保符合条件的客户获得“准确高效”的退款。

密歇根州汽车供应商Voltava所有者兼首席执行官布鲁斯·史密斯表示,他支持特朗普平衡与其他国家贸易的努力,但希望总统和其他民选官员能制定既保护国家利益又惠及美国及其贸易伙伴的政策。

“我们可以强硬且有策略性,同时保持可预测性。”

图表:2025-2027年有无《国际紧急经济权力法》时美国关税收入预测柱状图

报道:尼古拉斯·布朗和阿丽亚娜·麦克利莫尔在纽约报道;汤姆·哈尔在特拉华州、诺拉·埃克特和卡莱亚·霍尔在底特律、亚历山大·马罗在伦敦、克里斯托夫·施泰茨在法兰克福补充报道;大卫·加芬撰写;莉萨·朱卡和尼克·齐明斯基编辑

我们的标准:路透社信托原则

Business celebrates win over Trump tariffs, but refunds will take time

February 20, 2026 4:02 PM UTC / Reuters

By Arriana McLymore, Nicholas P. Brown and Alexander Marrow

节点运行失败

Item 1 of 2 A semi-truck drives past Chinese shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles in Wilmington, California, U.S., November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo

[1/2]A semi-truck drives past Chinese shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles in Wilmington, California, U.S., November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo

  • Summary
  • Companies
  • Supreme Court ruling could result in refund of $175 billion in tariffs
  • Companies face slow process, may sell rights to refunds
  • Tariffs still impact consumers, with 90% costs borne by Americans
  • Businesses face complex refund logistics, U.S. Court of International Trade involved
  • Trump vows more tariffs, adding uncertainty for global companies

NEW YORK/LONDON, Feb 20 (Reuters) – Thousands of businesses won a hard-fought victory when the U.S. Supreme Court ruled to overturn the White House’s emergency tariffs, but the process of getting refunds has only just begun.

In a decision that could ripple throughout the global economy for years, the court ruled that U.S. President Donald Trump was not allowed to use the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act to levy broad tariffs on imports.

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The corporate world has spent months adjusting to Trump’s often-evolving trade policy and his central use of tariffs for his agenda, not just to address trade issues but also as a cudgel against other governments’ policies and actions.

They’re likely to face further challenges, as Trump, in a furious press conference following the ruling, vowed to use additional powers to impose more tariffs, including a temporary 10% levy on all imports.

Regardless, many businesses and industry associations reacted with guarded hopes for more predictable trade policy. Thousands of companies – not just those that sued the administration – will now decide whether to pursue refunds, as it means more than $175 billion in U.S. tariffs collected could be refunded, Penn-Wharton Budget Model economists said on Friday.

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“If the country needs revenues, then have a debate in Congress,” said Rick Woldenberg, CEO of toymaker Learning Resources, one of the first businesses to file suit against the tariffs last April. “I’m excited. Hopefully this is something everyone feels they won. It’s a win for everyone.”

UNCERTAINTY REMAINS


Stocks of affected companies rallied on the news initially, but retreated from those gains due to the uncertainty surrounding trade policy. Shares of Target and Coach parent Tapestry were up slightly in afternoon trading.

The logistics surrounding refunds is likely to be left to the U.S. Court of International Trade, which means the claims are likely to be administratively complex, said International Chamber of Commerce Secretary General John Denton, adding that the ruling was “worryingly silent” on that issue.

More than 1,800 tariff‑related suits have been filed with the U.S. Court of International Trade, which has jurisdiction over tariffs and customs matters, since April, compared with less than two dozen such cases in all of 2024.

Trump’s Friday vow to bring additional tariffs was anticipated by numerous lawyers and business associations interviewed prior to his press conference. Several said the decision – and Trump’s subsequent moves – would introduce more uncertainty in coming months.

“The odds that tariffs reappear in a revised form remain meaningful. Layer on potential tariff refunds, and you introduce a messy operational and legal overhang that amplifies economic uncertainty,” said Olu Sonola, head of U.S. economics at Fitch Ratings.

NUMEROUS SECTORS AFFECTED


Companies across consumer goods, automotive, manufacturing and apparel have been hit particularly hard as they depend on low‑cost production in China, Vietnam, India and other sourcing hubs. Trump’s duties raise the cost of importing finished goods and components, squeezing margins and disrupting finely tuned global supply chains.

Prominent plaintiffs include subsidiaries of Japan’s Toyota Group, U.S. big-box retailer Costco, tire maker Goodyear Tire & Rubber, aluminum company Alcoa, Japanese motorcycle maker Kawasaki Motors and Paris-listed eyewear giant EssilorLuxottica.

The tariffs raised prices on consumers weary from several years of post-COVID inflation, with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York last week estimating that 90% of Trump’s tariffs are borne by American consumers and companies. The White House has argued with little evidence that the levies are paid by foreigners.

As of November, the effective U.S. tariff rate was 11.7%, compared with an average of 2.7% between 2022 and 2024, according to the Yale Budget Lab.

In addition, the automotive sector will continue to face significant tariffs that were not levied under IEEPA. Import tariffs of 25% on vehicles shipped across the border from either Mexico and Canada, for example, were imposed last year based on national-security grounds.

Line chart showing US effective tariff rate from 1790-present.

Still, attorneys say that likely thousands of auto parts shipped into the U.S. from countries subject to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are being hit with the levies, inflating expenses for both parts suppliers and carmakers.

Several lawyers said many more companies around the globe are likely to join the suits, having waited until the ruling to not draw unwanted attention from the White House. They’ll join a queue of companies who could be waiting for months to years to recoup the billions of dollars in import duties.

Wade Kawasaki, CEO of The Wheel Group, a California-based automotive wheel manufacturer, said his company has faced roughly 20% added costs under the IEEPA tariffs. He plans to seek refunds, which will involve his team sorting through thousands of transactions to “figure out how much is owed back to us,” he said.

Some U.S. companies have opted to sell their rights to collect those refunds to outside investors. This involves taking a small payment upfront – around 25 to 30 cents on the dollar – while agreeing to forfeit the rest to investors should the tariffs be overturned, Reuters reported in December.

German logistics firm DHL said that it will use its technology to ensure that its customers get refunds “accurately and efficiently” if they are authorized.

Bruce Smith, owner, chairman and CEO of Voltava, a Michigan-based auto supplier, said he supported Trump’s effort to balance trade with other countries, but hopes now that the president and other elected officials will work toward trade policies that protect national interests and benefit both the U.S. and its trading partners.

“We can be tough and strategic without being unpredictable,” he said.

Bar chart showing projected US tariff revenues with and without IEEPA for 2025 to 2027.

Reporting by Nicholas Brown and Arriana McLymore in New York; additional reporting by Tom Hals in Delaware, Nora Eckert and Kalea Hall in Detroit, Alexander Marrow in London and Christoph Steitz in Frankfurt; Writing by David Gaffen; Editing by Lisa Jucca and Nick Zieminski

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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