随着美国支持的俄乌谈判在日内瓦无果而终，基辅方面在战场上取得进展，通过东南战线的局部反攻以近年来最快速度收复领土。
分析人士指出，俄军战场通讯中断及作战动态转变，为乌方带来了优势，尽管谈判仍陷入僵局。
据法新社基于战争研究所战场地图分析报告，乌军在五天内收复了约78平方英里的领土。这一进展是基辅自2023年在顿涅茨克和扎波罗热地区反攻以来最快速的领土收复行动。
美国空军退役中将理查德·牛顿表示，不应低估乌克兰的战场表现。”随着战争持续，世界常常忘记乌克兰的决心、创新和道义清晰度是力量倍增器。面对更庞大、装备更精良的敌人，它的防御能力绝不能被忽视，”牛顿在接受福克斯新闻数字版采访时表示，”越来越多迹象表明，俄罗斯所谓的’不可战胜’不再是可靠假设，尤其是随着对克里姆林宫及其盟友的压力增加。”
[乌克兰称首次使用水下无人机袭击俄罗斯潜艇]
乌克兰第115旅迫击炮部队士兵在乌克兰莱曼进行迫击炮训练。(Jose Colon/Anadolu via Getty Images)
战斗主要集中在扎波罗热以东地区，自2025年中以来俄军在此稳步推进。开源战场监测显示，乌军向胡利亚伊波莱及附近定居点推进，但分析师警告战线仍不稳定，部分区域尚未完全控制。《每日电讯报》报道称。
战争研究所2月中旬评估认为，反攻似乎利用了俄军指挥控制系统的中断。该机构指出，乌军可能利用了俄军战场通讯受限的问题，包括据报受星链卫星终端使用限制及开源报告中提及的通讯平台限制影响。
乌克兰武装部队第93独立机械化旅成员在前线城镇科斯蒂安蒂尼夫卡操控光纤制导FPV无人机。(Iryna Rybakova/乌克兰武装部队第93独立机械化旅新闻处/路透社)
分析师称，通讯中断为乌军创造了短暂窗口，使其能在通常由无人机监视和电子战控制的 contested zones（争议区域）穿行。战争研究所及其他观察人士强调，此类机会是暂时的，并不代表俄军防御体系全面崩溃。
战场态势演变还受到无人机作用扩大的影响。战争研究所2月10日特别报告指出，俄罗斯扩大使用第一人称视角无人机，反映出其”将蓄意平民伤害武器化并制度化，作为战争的有目的工具”，警告这种战术正在成为作战 doctrine（ doctrine 此处指军事学说）的一部分，可能影响未来冲突。
[乌克兰用’火烈鸟’导弹打击俄罗斯主要弹药库 特朗普敦促泽连斯基达成协议]
乌克兰夜间发射六枚FP-5″火烈鸟”导弹，击中俄罗斯伏尔加格勒州科特卢班的第117号GRAU弹药库。(East2west)
尽管近期取得进展，分析师仍警告不应将此视为战争态势的决定性转变。牛顿强调持续的西方军事支持至关重要：”普京对武力做出反应，美国和欧洲应继续向乌克兰提供防御和进攻能力，包括能深入俄罗斯境内打击的远程系统。”
美国海军退役中将罗伯特·S·哈沃德表示，战场进展与外交谈判日益紧密关联：”双方都试图利用战场优势加强谈判地位，这表明双方尚未准备好达成协议。”
哈沃德指出，乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示停战后将举行选举，这表明基辅展现灵活性，而莫斯科继续施压。”如果能达成持久公平的外交协议，美国现任团队有能力促成，”他说，”但谈判必须配合对俄罗斯及其盟友的持续压力。”
俄罗斯公布无人机拍摄的所谓乌克兰袭击普京官邸的视频。(俄罗斯国防部/路透社提供)
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在乌克兰上一次大规模攻势停滞近两周年后，战争仍以渐进式领土变化为主，而非突破性进展。双方仍高度依赖无人机、火炮和电子战，战线以村庄为单位缓慢移动。
“随着美国领导的谈判持续，关键是加大对普京的压力，使其在恢复威慑力、防止进一步侵略的条件下结束战争，”牛顿说。
埃弗拉特·拉赫特是福克斯新闻数字版国际事务和联合国记者，在X平台（原推特）关注她@efratlachter。可将新闻线索发送至efrat.lachter@fox.com。
As U.S.-backed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Geneva ended without a breakthrough, Kyiv made gains on the battlefield, recapturing territory at its fastest pace in years through localized counterattacks along the southeastern front.
The advances come as analysts point to disruptions in Russian battlefield communications and shifting operational dynamics, developments that could strengthen Ukraine’s leverage even as talks remain stalled.
Ukrainian forces retook about 78 square miles over five days, according to a report by Agence France-Presse based on an analysis of the Institute for the Study of War battlefield mapping. The gains represent Kyiv’s most rapid territorial advances since its 2023 counteroffensive in the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.
Retired Air Force Lt. Gen. Richard Newton said Ukraine’s battlefield performance should not be underestimated. “As this war grinds on, the world too often forgets that Ukraine’s determination, innovation and moral clarity are force multipliers. Its ability to defend against a larger, better-resourced enemy should never be counted out,” Newton told Fox News Digital. “There are growing signs that Russia’s supposed invincibility is no longer a safe assumption, particularly as pressure increases on the Kremlin and its partners.”
[UKRAINE SAYS IT CARRIED OUT FIRST-EVER UNDERWATER DRONE STRIKE ON RUSSIAN SUBMARINE IN NOVOROSSIYSK]
Ukrainian soldiers from the 115th Brigade Mortar Unit conduct mortar training in Lyman, Ukraine.(Jose Colon/Anadolu via Getty Images)
The fighting has centered east of Zaporizhzhia, where Russian forces have steadily advanced since mid-2025. Open-source battlefield monitoring and mapping indicate Ukrainian troops pushed forward around Huliaipole and nearby settlements, though analysts caution the front remains fluid, and some areas are not fully secured, The Telegraph reported.
The Institute for the Study of War assessed in mid-February that the counterattacks appear to be exploiting disruptions in Russian command-and-control. ISW said Ukrainian forces are likely leveraging limits affecting Russian battlefield communications, including reported restrictions tied to the use of Starlink satellite terminals and messaging platforms cited in open-source reporting.
Members of the 93rd Kholodnyi Yar Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces control an FPV drone with optical fiber guidance in the frontline town of Kostiantynivka on Feb. 17, 2026.(Iryna Rybakova/Press Service of the 93rd Kholodnyi Yar Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces/Reuters)
Analysts say reduced connectivity can create short windows for Ukrainian units to move through contested zones that are typically dominated by drone surveillance and electronic warfare. ISW and other observers emphasize that such opportunities are temporary and do not signal a broader collapse in Russian defenses.
The evolving fight is also shaped by the growing role of drones. In a Feb. 10 special report, ISW said Russia’s expanding use of first-person-view drones reflects a campaign to “weaponize and institutionalize intentional civilian harm as a purposeful tool of war,” warning the tactic is becoming embedded in operational doctrine and could influence future conflicts.
[UKRAINE STRIKES MAJOR RUSSIAN AMMO DEPOT WITH ‘FLAMINGO’ MISSILE AS TRUMP URGES ZELENSKYY TO MOVE ON DEAL]
Ukraine fires six FP-5 Flamingo missiles in a night strike on Russia’s 117th GRAU arsenal in Kotluban, Volgograd Region.(East2west)
Despite the recent gains, analysts caution against viewing the developments as a decisive shift in the war. Newton argued that sustained Western military support remains essential. “Putin responds to force,” he said. “The United States and Europe should continue providing Ukraine with both defensive and offensive capabilities, including long-range systems capable of striking deep inside Russia.”
Retired Vice Adm. Robert S. Harward said battlefield gains are increasingly tied to diplomacy. “Both sides are trying to use battlefield advances to strengthen their position at the negotiating table,” Harward said. “It’s a sign neither side is ready to strike a deal yet.”
Harward pointed to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s stated willingness to hold elections following a ceasefire as evidence Kyiv is signaling flexibility, while Moscow continues to press its demands. “If a lasting and fair diplomatic agreement is achievable, the current U.S. team is well-positioned to help deliver it,” he said. “But negotiations must be paired with sustained pressure on Russia and its partners.”
Russia releases drone footage of an alleged Ukraine attack on Putin residence.(Russian Defence Ministry/Handout via Reuters)
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Nearly two years after Ukraine’s last major offensive stalled, the war remains defined by incremental territorial changes rather than sweeping breakthroughs. Both sides continue to rely heavily on drones, artillery and electronic warfare, with front lines shifting village by village.
“As U.S.-led talks continue, it is critical to increase pressure on Putin to end the war on terms that restore deterrence and prevent further aggression,” Newton said.
Efrat Lachter is a world reporter for Fox News Digital covering international affairs and the United Nations. Follow her on X @efratlachter. Stories can be sent to efrat.lachter@fox.com.
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