2026-02-13T05:00:46.454Z / CNN政治
分析报道:[斯蒂芬·科林森]
2小时前
发布于 2026年2月13日,美国东部时间凌晨12:00
唐纳德·特朗普 国会新闻 关税
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特朗普总统于2026年2月6日在白宫南草坪向媒体发表讲话
Aaron Schwartz/Bloomberg/Getty Images
曾宣称“作为总统,我有权为所欲为”的唐纳德·特朗普,如今不再总能随心所欲。
总统并未放弃对绝对权力的追求,但他开始遭遇小规模但意义重大的反抗。
每周都有更多人表明,他们不再那么畏惧总统。甚至包括一些共和党人。特朗普最珍视的一些政策和个人目标正面临来自政治行动、法院、公民个人以及不可避免的选举政治的日益增强的干扰。
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周四,特朗普政府的边境事务负责人汤姆·霍曼宣布,撤回数千名联邦官员前往明尼苏达州的行动。他坚称全国范围内的驱逐行动不会松懈,并且该行动已实现包括4000多人被捕在内的目标。然而,撤回行动以及放弃最激进的街头战术仍然代表着一种逆转。此前几周,两名美国人勒妮·古德和亚历克斯·普雷蒂在光天化日之下遇害引发了抗议和公众愤怒。明尼苏达州的“清洗”政治如今已难以为继。
明尼苏达州民主党州长蒂姆·瓦尔兹周四宣布结束他所谓的‘前所未有的联邦入侵’。他认为这场对峙造成了巨大的经济和社会损害,并将其视为更广泛意义的转折。“我认为可以肯定地说,全国其他地区会永远感激我们,因为我们展示了什么是坚持正义,”瓦尔兹表示。
明尼苏达州抗议者于2026年1月31日举行示威,呼吁停止纳税人对移民和海关执法局(ICE)的资金投入,并要求暂停驱逐行动
John Moore/Getty Images
法院一直是制约特朗普权力扩张的可靠力量,尽管政府在一些重大决策中胜诉。
周四在华盛顿,一名法官驳回了国防部长彼得·赫格塞斯试图以“煽动叛乱”罪惩罚退休海军上尉、亚利桑那州民主党参议员马克·凯利的企图——这是可对任何人提出的最严重指控之一。(赫格塞斯表示政府将“立即”上诉该裁决。)
“无论特朗普政府多么努力地试图惩罚我并压制他人,我都会加倍努力抗争。这太重要了,”凯利在一份声明中表示。在此之前,大陪审团已单独拒绝签署司法部对凯利和另外五名同样是军事或情报老兵的民主党议员的起诉,原因是他们就向军队提供“不服从非法命令”的视频指导。
有时,反抗的气息会具有传染性。
刚刚有六名共和党人违抗其政党领导层,在众议院与民主党人一起投票废除了总统对加拿大实施的关税——这反映出对其19世纪风格贸易政策成本的日益增长的担忧。
另有三名共和党成员也与民主党人联手挫败了众议院议长迈克·约翰逊阻止未来对特朗普关税投票的企图。这两次贸易对抗凸显了一个事实:在某些问题上,总统再也不能指望在分裂严重的众议院中获得稳定的多数支持。此外,这发生在去年年底一场更广泛的反抗之后,那次反抗迫使司法部公布了杰弗里·爱泼斯坦案件的文件,这一争议令总统极为愤怒——但他无法终结,这又是其政治魔力减弱的另一个迹象。
如何应对特朗普这个‘破坏者’
特朗普对手的小胜利短期内不会动摇其总统职位,但这表明,对于这位在第二任期初期以令人震惊的敏捷性行事的总统而言,常规政治规则仍然适用。总统糟糕的民调结果只会鼓励他的反对者。在《CNN民调综合》中,他的支持率稳定在39%。
政府的多个项目在法院受阻或减缓——其中一些是由共和党任命的法官做出的裁决。民主党人正再次试图在国会山发挥影响力,尽管在ICE战术的摊牌中,他们在任何一个政府部门都缺乏控制权,这可能在本周末导致国土安全部停摆。
在国外,盟友们正在研究如何在没有美国及其“破坏者”总统政策的情况下继续生存,正如本周末慕尼黑安全会议前发布的一份报告中对特朗普的描述。加拿大总理马克·卡尼希望世界“中等强国”能够抵制强权霸凌。
即将卸任的美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔拒绝了特朗普不断施压以削减利率、破坏央行独立性的要求。艺术家和表演者也开始抵制肯尼迪中心,抗议特朗普接管了波托马克河畔这一艺术巨头机构。
美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔于2026年1月28日在华盛顿联邦储备委员会参加公开市场委员会会议后发表讲话
Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images
尽管如此,特朗普在国内仍拥有巨大权力。周四,他撤销了环境保护署(EPA)对抗温室气体的权力,此举将摧毁奥巴马和拜登政府的气候遗产,彰显了他的强硬态度。此外,他解雇了致力于加强对科技巨头监管的反垄断负责人阿比盖尔·斯莱特,这将加剧人们对经济腐败加剧的担忧。
特朗普对《纽约时报》表示,唯一能约束他外交政策中巨大权力的是他的“道德”,这一说法并非完全错误。美国对委内瑞拉独裁者尼古拉斯·马杜罗的突袭行动凸显了特朗普作为总司令所掌握的巨大权力。
2026年1月23日,在委内瑞拉加拉加斯,被罢免的总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗的支持者举着旗帜举行示威,要求释放他和他的妻子
Juan Barreto/AFP/Getty Images
尽管自由派媒体称特朗普是暴君,但美国共和制政府体系仍然保护着异见声音,而政府正试图通过攻击媒体来压制这些声音。
“我不期望普通人每天都做出非凡的勇敢行为,”民主党参议员艾丽莎·斯洛特金周三在接受CNN的安德森·库珀采访时表示。“我只是要求你们比平时多付出一点点努力,因为我认为,虽然恐惧可以传染,但勇气也同样具有感染力,”斯洛特金补充道——她也是本周未被起诉的民主党人之一。
斯洛特金的论点基于一个假设:一旦人们开始明白特朗普并非其精心构建的个人崇拜所宣称的那般全能,他的神秘感必然会减弱。
总统似乎明白这一点,因此经常展示自己的主导地位,并努力塑造强人形象。
尚未沦为跛鸭总统
所有第二任期的总统都会随着其宪法规定的任期临近结束而影响力衰退,同时其他政客和选民开始考虑他们卸任后的生活。
但在圣诞节前的评论中,将特朗普描绘成跛鸭的说法可能为时过早。他的反应非常狂热,包括对委内瑞拉的军事打击和宣布向明尼苏达州增派联邦官员。总统对其宪法权威有着极其宽泛的理解,这意味着他肯定会继续挑战其职位的界限。毕竟,在2020年选举失利后,他面临的最大威胁才出现。
尽管最近国会山出现一些叛逃,但特朗普对其政党的控制仍然牢固。希望保住职位的共和党议员不能忽视总统在其基本选民中受到的喜爱。随着11月中期选举临近,特朗普掌握着筹码。
“任何在众议院或参议院中投票反对关税的共和党人,在选举时都将面临严重后果,包括初选!”特朗普本周在社交媒体上威胁道。
然而,同样是这些中期选举,对可能被特朗普的全国性不受欢迎程度拖累的共和党人来说,正变得越来越危险。最终,更多议员可能会开始认为,为了拯救自己或其选民,他们别无选择,只能更频繁地与总统决裂。
特朗普总统于2026年1月27日在爱荷华州克莱夫的Horizon Events Center集会上发表演讲
Win McNamee/Getty Images
特朗普的总统权力短期内仍将维持。例如,没有迹象表明众议院或参议院中存在足以迫使他放弃贸易战的否决多数。
但一些在加拿大关税投票中反抗特朗普的共和党人表示,这些关税正在惩罚他们所代表的农民和钢铁工人。“归根结底,我查看了宪法,考虑了对我所在选区最有利的情况,然后投了票,”科罗拉多州共和党众议员杰夫·赫德告诉CNN国会团队。
周四发布的纽约联邦储备银行报告发现,美国企业和消费者去年承担了特朗普关税成本的近90%,这揭穿了总统声称关税能“使国家致富”的幻想。这些发现指出了特朗普权力的另一个制约因素——现实。如果他无法像许多选民在2024年期望的那样降低价格,这可能会超过其所有声称的“拒绝全球贸易体系使人民生活更好”的说法。这对11月的共和党候选人来说将是个坏消息。
目前,特朗普似乎比许多批评者预期的更强大,但比他自己认为的更虚弱。但现在的小政治转变可能预示着未来几个月更大的变化。毕竟,特朗普的“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动最初规模很小——一个没人认真对待的真人秀明星在2015年走下金色自动扶梯。
民主党人希望他们正在看到真正重组的种子。
“我只是希望大家意识到,如果我们都多付出半英寸的努力,对这个政府的行为做出公正评判,这种行动会具有感染力,并有助于扭转局势,”斯洛特金在接受库珀采访时表示。
唐纳德·特朗普 国会新闻 关税
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How the anti-Trump resistance is slowly stirring
2026-02-13T05:00:46.454Z / CNN Politics
Analysis by
[Stephen Collinson]
2 hr ago
PUBLISHED Feb 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Donald Trump Congressional news Tariffs
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President Donald Trump speaks to members of the media on the South Lawn of the White House on February 6, 2026.
Aaron Schwartz/Bloomberg/Getty Images
Donald Trump, who once claimed, “I have the right to do whatever I want as president,” isn’t always getting it all his own way anymore.
The president hasn’t repudiated his quest for total power. But he’s beginning to hit small but significant pockets of rebellion.
Every week, more people show they are less frightened of the president. That even includes some Republicans. Some of Trump’s most cherished policies and personal goals face increasing disruption from political action, the courts, individual citizens and the inexorable gravity of electoral politics.
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On Thursday, Trump’s border czar Tom Homan announced the end of the surge of thousands of federal officers to Minnesota. He insisted the countrywide deportation crackdown would not relent and that the force had achieved its goals, including by making more than 4,000 arrests. Yet its departure and the step back from the most aggressive on-the-street tactics still represented a reversal. It followed weeks of protests and public outrage over the broad-daylight killings of two Americans, Renee Good and Alex Pretti. The politics of the purge in Minnesota are simply no longer sustainable
Minnesota’s Democratic Gov. Tim Walz on Thursday declared the end of what he called an “unprecedented federal invasion.” And he saw a broader meaning in the end of a confrontation that he said caused huge economic and societal damage. “I think it’s probably safe to say the rest of the country will be forever grateful because we showed what it means to stand up for what’s right,” Walz said.
In an aerial view, protesters stage a march calling for an end to taxpayer spending on ICE and demanding a moratorium on evictions in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on January 31, 2026.
John Moore/Getty Images
The courts have been another reliable brake on Trump’s power grabs, even if the administration has won its share of big decisions.
In Washington on Thursday, a judge shut down Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s bid to punish retired Navy captain and Arizona Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly for “sedition” — one of the most grievous charges that can be laid against anyone. (Hegseth said the administration would “immediately” appeal the decision.)
“However hard the Trump administration may fight to punish me and silence others, I will fight ten times harder. This is too important,” Kelly said in a statement. The ruling came after a grand jury had separately refused to sign off on a Justice Department indictment against Kelly and five other Democratic lawmakers who are also military or intelligence veterans over a video advising troops not to follow illegal orders.
Sometimes, a scent of rebellion can be catching.
Six Republicans just defied their party’s leadership and voted with Democrats in the House to repeal the president’s tariffs on Canada— reflecting growing anxiety about the cost of his 19th century-style trade policies.
Three GOP members also joined Democrats to thwart House Speaker Mike Johnson’s effort to block future votes on Trump’s tariffs. The twin trade showdowns underscored the fact that on some issues, the president can no longer count on a functioning majority in the tightly divided House. And they followed a much broader revolt against the president late last year that forced the Department of Justice to release the Jeffrey Epstein files, extending a controversy that is infuriating the president — but that he cannot end, in another sign of his waning political alchemy.
Working out how to cope with Trump the ‘demolition’ man
Small victories for Trump’s opponents aren’t going to buckle his presidency in the short term. But they suggest regular rules of politics still apply to a president who acted with shock-and-awe dexterity earlier in his second term. The president’s poor polling is only encouraging his opponents. In the CNN Poll of Polls average, his approval rating is stuck at 39%.
Multiple administration programs have been slowed or blocked in the courts — some by Republican-appointed judges. Democrats are trying again to assert leverage on Capitol Hill despite lacking the control of any branch of government in a showdown over ICE tactics that could shut down the Department of Homeland Security at the end of the week.
Abroad, allies are working out how to live without America and the policies of its “demolition” man president, as Trump was described by a report issued ahead of the annual Munich Security Conference this weekend. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney wants the world’s “middle powers” to stand up to bullying great powers.
Outgoing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has refused Trump’s relentless pressure to slash interest rates and shatter the central bank’s independence. And artists and performers have been boycotting the Kennedy Center in protest of Trump’s takeover of the arts behemoth on the Potomac.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell arrives to speak following the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on January 28, 2026, in Washington, DC.
Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images
Still, Trump retains enormous power at home. He flexed it Thursday by revoking the Environmental Protection Agency’s capacity to fight greenhouse gases in a move set to destroy the Obama and Biden administrations’ climate legacies. And the firing of the government’s antitrust chief Abigail Slater, who has been pushing for tougher scrutiny of the tech titans whom Trump has welcomed into his kinglike court, will fuel new anxiety over rising corruption in the economy.
And Trump wasn’t far wrong when he told the New York Times that the only thing that could rein in his considerable powers in foreign policy was his “morality.” The US raid to extract Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro highlighted enormous power at Trump’s fingertips as commander-in-chief.
Supporters of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro hold a flag during a demonstration calling for the release of him and his wife from a US prison, in Caracas, Venezuela, on January 23.
Juan Barreto/AFP/Getty Images
But for all the talk on liberal media that Trump is a tyrant, America’s system of republican government still shields dissent that the administration has tried so hard to suppress — including through its attacks on the media.
“I don’t expect the average person to do acts of regular bravery every single day,” Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin told CNN’s Anderson Cooper on Wednesday. “I’m asking you to do a couple inches more than you’re used to doing because, I think, while fear can be contagious, so is courage,” said Slotkin — another of the Democrats who escaped indictment this week.
Slotkin’s argument rests on the conceit that once people begin to understand that Trump is not as omnipotent as his carefully constructed personality cult claims, his mystique will inevitably wane.
The president seems to understand this, given his regular shows of dominance and efforts to cultivate a strongman’s aura.
Not a lame duck yet
All second-term presidents experience an ebbing of influence as the end of their constitutionally stipulated mandate looms and as fellow politicians and voters begin to think about life after they have left the scene.
But the outburst of commentary before Christmas that portrayed Trump as a lame duck already was probably premature. His response was frenetic, and included the assault on Venezuela and the announcement of the surge of federal officers into Minnesota. The president’s extremely broad vision of his constitutional authority means that he’s certain to continue pushing the limits of his office. The moment of his greatest threat, after all came after he’d lost the 2020 election to Joe Biden.
Trump’s control over his own party remains robust despite some recent defections on Capitol Hill. GOP lawmakers who want to keep their job can’t ignore the affection in which he’s held by their base voters. And with the midterm elections looming in November, Trump has leverage.
“Any Republican, in the House or the Senate, that votes against TARIFFS will seriously suffer the consequences come Election time, and that includes Primaries!” Trump threatened on social media this week.
Yet those same midterm elections are looking increasingly perilous for Republicans who may be dragged down by Trump’s national unpopularity. Ultimately, more lawmakers may begin to reason that to save themselves, or their constituents, they have no choice but to break with the president more often.
President Donald Trump takes the stage to speak during a rally at the Horizon Events Center on January 27, 2026, in Clive, Iowa.
Win McNamee/Getty Images
Trump’s presidential power will sustain him in the short term. There is no indication, for instance, of a veto-proof majority in either the House or the Senate that could ultimately force him to ditch his trade wars.
But some Republicans who rebelled against Trump on the Canada tariff vote argued that the tariffs were punishing farmers and steel workers whom they represent. “At the end of the day, I looked at the Constitution, I looked at what was in the best interest of my district, and I took the vote,” Colorado Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd told CNN’s congressional team.
A New York Fed report released Thursday found that US businesses and consumers paid nearly 90% of the cost of Trump’s tariffs last year, debunking the president’s fantasy that they are enriching the country. The findings point to another constraint on Trump’s power — reality. The consequences of his failure to lower prices as many voters hoped in 2024 could supersede all his claims that his rejection of the global trading system is making people’s lives better. This would be bad news for Republican candidates in November.
For now, Trump appears stronger than many of his critics hoped, but weaker than he thinks he is. But small political shifts now could augur bigger ones in the months to come. After all, Trump’s MAGA movement started small — with one reality star who no one took seriously descending a golden escalator in 2015.
Democrats hope they are seeing the seeds of a realignment.
“I’m just asking folks just to realize that if we all do a half an inch more, to just call balls and strikes on this administration, it is contagious and it helps turn the tide,” Slotkin told CNN’s Cooper.
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