发布时间：2026年2月12日，美国东部时间上午10:41 / CNN
作者：[詹妮弗·阿吉埃斯塔]
3小时前
（图片说明：2026年2月10日白宫。格雷姆·斯隆/彭博社/盖蒂图片社）
作为美国最知名的民调机构之一，盖洛普周三宣布，将不再跟踪总统支持率或政治人物的好感度。这一举措终止了美国历史上持续时间最长的总统民意跟踪调查，该调查可追溯至20世纪30年代末富兰克林·D·罗斯福执政时期。
该公司将这一变化归因于研究方向转向“塑造人们生活的问题和状况”。盖洛普拥有关于公众对重大问题和国家情绪的民意调查中最长的趋势数据，它计划继续这方面的研究，并表示将不再“发布对个别政治人物的评估”。
盖洛普终止总统支持率跟踪调查，是过去几十年中重塑民调格局的一系列转变中的最新一例。
一些主要的公共民调机构，包括盖洛普，不再进行关于选民偏好哪位候选人的民调（有时称为“赛马式”民调）。人们沟通方式的变化使得电话调查（长期以来民调方法的黄金标准，也是盖洛普用于总统支持率跟踪的方法）变得更加困难、耗时且昂贵。这导致公共民调机构的工作方式发生重大转变。
此外，长期且重要的公共民调合作关系——例如CNN与盖洛普及《今日美国》的前合作关系、哥伦比亚广播公司新闻与《纽约时报》的合作关系，以及全国广播公司新闻与《华尔街日报》的合作关系——已终止或发生变化。
自哈里·S·杜鲁门总统任期以来，盖洛普一直使用的标准工作支持率问题——“你是否赞成（姓名）履行其总统职责的方式”——已被数百名研究人员采纳并沿用。自唐纳德·特朗普总统第二任期开始以来，CNN对其支持率的最新跟踪调查包括134项由盖洛普以外的机构进行的高质量民调。
根据CNN的民调汇总，特朗普目前的平均支持率为39%赞成、59%反对，与盖洛普2025年12月的最终数据相似（当时36%的美国人表示赞成，59%表示反对）。
CNN的阿里尔·爱德华兹-莱维为此报道提供了帮助。
Gallup ends its presidential tracking poll, the latest shift in the public opinion landscape
PUBLISHED Feb 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET / CNN
By
[Jennifer Agiesta]
3 hr ago
The White House on February 10, 2026.
Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg/Getty Images
Gallup, one of the country’s most well-known polling firms, announced Wednesday that it will no longer track presidential approval or favorability of political figures. The move ends the longest-running continuous effort to track US opinion of the nation’s president, dating back to the tenure of Franklin D. Roosevelt in the late 1930s.
The company attributes the change to a shift toward research on “issues and conditions that shape people’s lives.” Gallup has some of the longest trend data in polling on public opinion about prominent issues and the nation’s mood, which it plans to continue, and says that it will no longer “publish assessments of individual political figures.”
The end of presidential approval tracking at Gallup is the latest in a long line of shifts that have remade the landscape of polling over the last few decades.
Some major public pollsters, including Gallup, stepped back from conducting polling on which candidate voters prefer, sometimes referred to as horserace polling. Changes in the ways people communicate made it harder, more time-consuming and more expensive to conduct polling by telephone, long the gold-standard of survey methodology and the methodology Gallup has used for its presidential approval tracking. That’s led to major shifts in how public pollsters do their work.
And long-running, prominent public polling partnerships – such as CNN’s former partnership with Gallup and USA Today, the partnership between CBS News and the New York Times, and between NBC News and the Wall Street Journal – have ended or changed.
The standard job approval question used by Gallup since the presidency of Harry S. Truman – “do you approve or disapprove of the way (name) is handling his job as president” – has been adopted and carried forward by hundreds of researchers since. CNN’s most recent tracking of polls on President Donald Trump’s approval rating includes 134 high-quality polls on that metric conducted by someone other than Gallup since the start of his second term in office.
Trump’s current average approval rating in the CNN Poll of Polls stands at 39% approve to 59% disapprove, similar to Gallup’s final measure in December 2025, which found 36% of Americans approving of Trump with 59% disapproving.
CNN’s Ariel Edwards-Levy contributed to this report.
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