福克斯新闻 – 2026年2月10日 美国东部时间上午6:30
伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格奇表示，其国家不会就弹道导弹项目进行谈判，拒绝了美国的核心要求，进一步降低了达成突破性协议的前景。
他在接受半岛电视台采访时再次警告称，伊朗将在受到挑衅时以美国在中东的基地为目标，称伊朗的导弹项目”绝无谈判余地”。
这些警告发出之际，美国和伊朗谈判代表于2月初在阿曼举行了会谈，而华盛顿仍在该地区继续增兵——美国官员称此举是为了阻止进一步升级，但分析人士认为这也凸显了双方立场仍存在巨大分歧。
尽管军事力量存在不平衡，分析人士表示，伊朗认为通过展示更强的决心以及押注美国对战争的意愿有限，它能够承受美国的压力。
尽管美国拥有压倒性的军事能力，国防优先事项分析机构分析师罗斯玛丽·凯拉尼奇表示，伊朗正依赖非对称冲突的逻辑。
“一个国家强大得多，但较弱的国家更在意（这场冲突），”凯拉尼奇说，”历史上，更在意的国家往往通过拖垮强国而获胜。”
“伊朗正尽可能强烈地表明其决心，但它可能怀疑美国的决心——因为在德黑兰看来，伊朗的利益攸关生死，而美国的利益则并非如此，”她补充道。
美国传统基金会高级研究员贝纳姆·塔莱布鲁表示，德黑兰的主要筹码是它有能力威胁引发更广泛的地区不稳定，即使它无法赢得长期冲突。
“伊斯兰共和国的筹码是引发地区性战争的威胁，”塔莱布鲁指出，尽管美国和以色列的防御系统可以拦截大多数袭击，但”总会有目标被击中。”
伊朗争取时间
各领域的分析师一致认为，伊朗把谈判更多地用作拖延决定性行动的手段，而非达成妥协的途径。
全球咨询公司维基斯特拉特分析师奥伦·凯斯勒表示，伊朗利用谈判在国内稳定立场，同时避免在核心安全问题上让步。
“双方都希望达成协议，但彼此的红线很难被对方跨越，”凯斯勒说，”谈判在进行这一点上进展不错，但实际上没有取得任何实质性进展。”
塔莱布鲁也认同这一评估，认为德黑兰将外交视为盾牌而非解决方案。
“政权将谈判视为生命线，而非解决核心问题的途径，”他说。
塔莱布鲁补充道，伊朗领导层将谈判视为短期内阻止袭击、中期削弱国内反对势力、最终获得制裁减免以稳定经济的手段。
（这张图片是美联社从伊朗境外获取的视频截图，显示一名蒙面示威者在伊朗德黑兰的抗议活动中手持伊朗王储礼萨·巴列维的照片，摄于2026年1月9日。）
国务卿马尔科·卢比奥坚称，对伊朗弹道导弹的限制必须是任何避免军事行动协议的一部分。
“归根结底，美国准备参与谈判，而且一直准备与伊朗进行谈判，”卢比奥在2月初表示，”为了使谈判真正取得有意义的成果，必须包含某些内容，包括其弹道导弹的射程、其在该地区对恐怖组织的支持、其核项目以及对本国人民的待遇。”
2026年初开始的反政府抗议活动导致伊朗政权进行了残酷镇压。政权已承认与示威活动相关的3117人死亡，尽管人权组织和伊朗抵抗组织认为死亡人数要高得多。
美国还要求伊朗放弃所有浓缩铀储备，这些铀储备在低浓度时可用于民用能源，但在高浓度时可用于制造核武器。
阿拉格奇告诉半岛电视台，伊朗愿意就核问题进行谈判，但坚称浓缩铀是”不可剥夺的权利”，”必须继续进行”。
“我们准备就浓缩铀达成令人放心的协议，”他说，”伊朗核问题只能通过谈判解决。”
伊朗原子能机构负责人周一表示，德黑兰将考虑稀释其60%丰度的浓缩铀（接近武器级），但前提是所有制裁都被解除。
随着谈判的进行，美国继续扩大其在中东的军事存在。
1月底，美国派遣以”亚伯拉罕·林肯”号航空母舰为核心的航母打击群前往北阿拉伯海，同时配备多艘驱逐舰和其他海军资产。此外，F-15E打击战斗机和防空系统也被重新部署到该地区的基地，同时数千名美军士兵也被调往该地区。
塔莱布鲁表示，特朗普政府可能正利用外交手段为自己争取时间。
“善意的解读是，总统正在争取时间——调动资产、加强导弹防御、准备军事选项，”他说，”不那么善意的解读是，美国将伊朗的威胁视为高度可信，并且仍在追求协议的表面功夫。”
2025年，五轮谈判同样因美国要求伊朗完全放弃铀浓缩而陷入停滞——这些谈判最终演变为美国领导的针对伊朗核设施的”午夜锤子”行动。
Iran Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says missiles ‘never negotiable’ | Fox News
Fox News – Published February 10, 2026 6:30am EST
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said his country would not negotiate on its ballistic missile program, rejecting a core U.S. demand and further dimming prospects for a breakthrough deal.
He again warned in an interview with Al Jazeera that Tehran, Iran, would target U.S. bases in the Middle East if provoked, calling Iran’s missile program ‘never negotiable.’
The warnings came as U.S. and Iranian negotiators met in early February in Oman, even as Washington continued to build up military forces across the region — a posture U.S. officials say is meant to deter further escalation but which analysts argue also underscores how far apart the two sides remain.
Despite the imbalance in military power, analysts say Iran believes it can withstand U.S. pressure by signaling greater resolve — and by betting that Washington’s appetite for war is limited.
While the U.S. possesses overwhelming military capabilities, Defense Priorities analyst Rosemary Kelanic said Iran is relying on the logic of asymmetric conflict.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said his country would not negotiate on its ballistic missile program, rejecting a core U.S. demand and further dimming prospects for a breakthrough deal.(Vahid Salemi/AP)
‘One country is much stronger, but the weaker country cares more,’ Kelanic said. ‘And historically, the country that cares more often wins by outlasting the stronger one.’
‘Iran is trying to signal resolve as strongly as it can, but it likely doubts U.S. resolve — because from Tehran’s perspective, the stakes for Iran are existential, while the stakes for the United States are not,’ she added.
Behnam Taleblu, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said Tehran’s primary leverage is its ability to threaten wider regional instability, even if it cannot win a prolonged conflict.
‘The Islamic Republic’s leverage is the threat of a region-wide war,’ Taleblu said, noting that while U.S. and Israeli defenses could intercept most attacks, ‘something will get hit.’
Iran buying time
Analysts across the spectrum agree that Iran is using negotiations less as a path to compromise than as a way to delay decisive action.
Oren Kessler, an analyst at global consulting firm Wikistrat, said Iran is using talks to stabilize its position internally while avoiding concessions on core security issues.
‘Both sides want a deal, but their red lines are very hard for the other side to overcome,’ Kesler said. ‘The talks are going well in the sense that they’re happening, but they’re not really going anywhere.’
Taleblu echoed that assessment, arguing that Tehran is treating diplomacy as a shield rather than a solution.
‘The regime is treating negotiations as a lifeline rather than a way to resolve the core problem,’ he said.
Taleblu added that Iran’s leadership sees talks as a way to deter a strike in the short term, weaken domestic opposition in the medium term, and eventually secure sanctions relief to stabilize its economy.
In this frame grab from video obtained by the AP outside Iran, a masked demonstrator holds a picture of Iran’s Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi during a protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 9, 2026.(UGC via AP)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has insisted that limits on Iran’s ballistic missiles must be part of any agreement to avoid military action.
‘At the end of the day, the United States is prepared to engage, and has always been prepared to engage with Iran,’ Rubio said in early February. ‘In order for talks to actually lead to something meaningful, they will have to include certain things, and that includes the range of their ballistic missiles. That includes their sponsorship of terrorist organizations across the region. That includes the nuclear program. And that includes the treatment of their own people.’
Anti-government protests beginning at the start of 2026 led to a brutal crackdown in Iran. The regime has admitted to 3,117 deaths linked to the demonstrations, though human rights groups and Iranian resistance organizations peg the death toll as much higher.
The U.S. also has demanded that Iran give up all enriched uranium stockpiles, which can be used for civilian energy at low levels but for nuclear weapons at higher concentrations.
Araghchi told Al Jazeera that Iran is willing to negotiate on nuclear issues but insisted enrichment is an ‘inalienable right’ that ‘must continue.’
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is pictured sitting next to a senior military official in Iran.(Getty Images)
‘We are ready to reach a reassuring agreement on enrichment,’ he said. ‘The Iranian nuclear case will only be resolved through negotiations.’
Iran’s atomic chief said Monday that Tehran would consider diluting its 60% enriched uranium — a level close to weapons-grade — but only in exchange for the lifting of all sanctions.
As negotiations unfolded, the U.S. continued to expand its military footprint in the Middle East.
In late January, the U.S. dispatched a carrier strike group centered on the USS Abraham Lincoln to the North Arabian Sea, accompanied by multiple destroyers and other naval assets. Additional F-15E strike aircraft and air defense systems have also been repositioned at bases across the region, alongside thousands of U.S. troops.
Taleblu said the administration may be using diplomacy to buy time of its own.
‘The charitable interpretation is that the president is buying time — moving assets, strengthening missile defense, and preparing military options,’ he said. ‘The less charitable interpretation is that the United States is taking Iran’s threats as highly credible and still chasing the optics of a deal.’
In 2025, five rounds of talks similarly stalled over U.S. demands that Iran abandon enrichment entirely — talks that ultimately collapsed into Operation Midnight Hammer, a U.S.-led bombing campaign against Iranian nuclear facilities.
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