3小时前 发布于2026年2月4日,美国东部时间下午2:36 / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)政治版
唐纳德·特朗普总统散布了数十种关于美国选举的谎言。其中一些相对复杂,另一些则明显荒谬可笑。
众议院议长迈克·约翰逊现在正在宣扬其中最可笑的一个谎言。
在周一播出的采访中,特朗普声称共和党人应该在至少”15个地方””接管投票”,理由是所谓的舞弊,而他从未拿出任何证据。随后,约翰逊周二告诉记者:
“在一些州——比如加利福尼亚州,我是说,他们在选举日后还会开放数周选举。这只是让很多人感到困扰的一点。在上一个选举周期中,我们有三位众议院共和党候选人在选举日领先,但每次新一批选票统计出来时,他们的优势就神奇地被蚕食,最终失去领先地位。而且,在选举日后统计的任何一批选票中,我们的候选人都没有领先过。这——从表面上看就是欺诈。我能证明吗?不能,因为这发生在太早就无法查证的阶段。”
尽管约翰逊承认自己没有欺诈证据,但这仍然是一派胡言。
民主党候选人在计票中领先并非欺诈迹象
在加利福尼亚州的计票中,共和党候选人在早期领先,随后随着更多选票统计而失去优势——这一过程本身既不神奇也不欺诈。同样,在另一个州,民主党候选人在计票中领先,随后随着更多选票统计而失去优势,这也同样不构成欺诈。
在这两种情况下,发生的事情都是:合法的选票被合法统计。
在总统摇摆州亚利桑那州,邮寄选票必须在选举日投票站关闭前送达选举办公室。由于邮寄选票如今往往更受民主党人青睐(部分原因是特朗普多次劝阻支持者使用邮寄方式投票),亚利桑那州的民主党候选人可能在选举夜早期邮寄选票快速统计时获得看似巨大的领先优势,但随着选举日后几天内现场投票或邮寄的选票全部统计完毕,他们可能会失去这些优势或看到优势缩小。
相反,加利福尼亚州允许邮寄选票在选举日后7天内送达,只要邮戳日期在选举日或之前。这个拥有全国最大人口的民主党主导州,需要统计约1300万张邮寄选票(2024年总投票数约1610万张)。加利福尼亚州在处理邮寄选票和解决选民签名问题上的流程,也导致计票速度比其他州慢。因此:加利福尼亚州的共和党候选人可能在早期的现场投票统计中获得看似巨大的领先优势,但随着邮寄选票全部统计完毕,他们可能会失去这些优势或看到优势缩小。
对于像众议院议长这样深度参与美国选举事务的人来说,这一切都不应该显得复杂。而媒体多年来一直在向公众解释这一点。
加利福尼亚州选民必须在选举日或之前投票
约翰逊没有具体解释他所说的”选举日后开放数周”是什么意思,但他显然给人留下加利福尼亚州选民可以在选举日后投票的印象。事实并非如此。加利福尼亚州选民必须在选举日当天或之前亲自投票或邮寄选票。
加利福尼亚州确实需要数周时间完成计票。在2025年纽森州长签署法案要求各县加快计票速度后,这一过程可能会有所加快。但无论如何,计票速度慢只是计票速度慢,并非欺诈的标志。与普遍看法相反,美国各州在选举日后数天内仍会继续计票——即使媒体已经”宣布”了获胜者。
这些媒体宣布只是非正式的预测,而非最终结果,即使是在压倒性胜利的情况下(公众很快不再关注候选人的具体数字),计票过程也不会停止。约翰逊不可能不知道这一点。
梅利·莱维(Mel Levey)是加利福尼亚州默塞德县的选民登记官,该县的众议院选区在2024年是全国竞争最激烈的选区,一名共和党候选人最初领先,但最终民主党候选人以187票优势获胜。莱维在给CNN的声明中表示,2024年共和党和民主党的竞选团队观察员和律师”全程观察了计票的每一个环节”,并且在最终结果认证后,双方都没有要求重新计票;”他们知道结果是公平准确的”,莱维说。
“我邀请约翰逊议长参观我的办公室,亲眼看看加利福尼亚州的选举是如何实际进行的。这里没有什么’神奇’之处,”莱维说,”有的只是非党派选举官员的辛勤工作和漫长的工作日,他们在自己服务的社区中生活和工作,帮助管理选举。”
Analysis: Mike Johnson promotes one of Trump’s most laughable election lies
3 hr ago PUBLISHED Feb 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET / CNN Politics
President Donald Trump has promoted dozens of different lies about American elections. Some of them are relatively sophisticated. Some are transparently silly.
House Speaker Mike Johnson is now promoting one of the very most laughable.
In an interview that aired Monday, Trump said Republicans should “take over the voting” in at least “15 places” because of supposed corruption he has shown no evidence of. Then Johnson told reporters Tuesday:
“In some of the states – like in California, for example. I mean, they hold the elections open for weeks after Election Day. That’s just one thing that bothers so many people. We had three House Republican candidates who were ahead on Election Day in the last election cycle, and every time a new tranche of ballots came in, they just magically whittled away until their leads were lost. And no series of ballots that were counted after Election Day were our candidates ahead on any of those counts. It just – it looks on its face to be fraudulent. Can I prove that? No, because it happened so far upstream.”
Even with Johnson’s un-Trumpian admission that he doesn’t have proof of fraud, this is a lot of nonsense.
A Democrat taking the lead in a vote count is not a sign of fraud
There is nothing magical and nothing fraudulent “on its face” about a Republican having an early lead in a California vote count and then losing that lead as more votes are counted – just as there is nothing magical or fraudulent on its face about a Democrat having an early lead in a vote count in another state and then losing that lead as more votes are counted.
All that happens in both cases is that … legitimate ballots are legitimately counted.
In the presidential swing state of Arizona, mail-in ballots must arrive at elections offices by the time the polls close on Election Day. Because mail-in votes tend to favor Democrats these days, in part because Trump has repeatedly discouraged his supporters from voting this way, Arizona’s Democratic candidates may have illusory big leads when mail-in votes that arrived early are quickly added to the vote totals on Election Night – but they may lose those leads or see them narrow as the votes that are cast in-person or dropped off on Election Day are fully counted over the coming days.
Mail-in ballots in their envelopes await processing at the Los Angeles County Registrar Recorders’ mail-in ballot processing center at the Pomona Fairplex in Pomona, California, October 28, 2020.
Robyn Beck/AFP/Getty Images
Conversely, California allows mail-in ballots to arrive up to seven days after Election Day as long as they are postmarked on or before Election Day – and the Democratic-dominated state with the country’s largest population has a huge volume of mail-in ballots to count, around 13 million out of roughly 16.1 million votes in the 2024 election. California’s rules for processing mail-in ballots and for mail-in voters fixing issues with their signatures also contribute to a slower count than in other states. So: California’s Republican candidates may have illusory big leads in the early count from in-person votes, then lose those leads or see them narrow as mail-in ballots are fully counted.
None of this should be remotely complicated to anyone as heavily involved in US elections as the speaker of the House is. And media outlets have been explaining it to the public for years.
Californians have to vote on or before Election Day
Johnson didn’t explain exactly what he meant by “they hold the elections open for weeks after Election Day,” but he certainly left open the impression that Californians are allowed to vote after Election Day. They aren’t. California voters must vote in person or send in their mail-in ballot on Election Day or earlier.
It is true that California tends to take weeks to finish its vote count. That process could get a bit faster after Gov. Gavin Newsom signed a 2025 bill to try to get counties to speed it up. Regardless, a slow count is a sign of a slow count, not a sign of fraud. And contrary to what appears to be a widespread perception, vote-counting continues for days after Election Day in states throughout the country – even when media outlets have already “called” the winner.
Those media calls are informal projections, not final results, and do not end the count even in landslide victories in which the general public quickly stops paying attention to candidates’ precise numbers. It would be unfathomable for Johnson not to know this.
Mel Levey is the registrar of voters in Merced County, California, which sits in the House district that had the closest race in the country in 2024, where a Republican candidate was initially leading in the count but the Democrat ended up winning by 187 votes. Levey said in a statement to CNN that observers and lawyers from both the Republican and Democratic campaigns “observed every single aspect of [the canvass]” in 2024 and that neither side requested a recount after the certification of the razor-thin result; “they knew the results were fair and accurate,” Levey said.
“I invite Speaker Johnson to visit my office to observe how elections are actually conducted in California. There is nothing ‘magical’ about it,” Levey said. “Just a lot of hard work and long days from non-partisan election officials who live and work in the communities for whom they help administer elections.”
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