2026-02-04T21:06:37.429Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）政治版
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亚伦·布莱克
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2026年2月4日，美国东部时间下午4:56更新
2026年2月4日，美国东部时间下午4:06发布
移民 选举 民调
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周二，在明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯的一次移民突袭行动中，一名联邦特工正在使用胡椒喷雾。
夏利·特里巴洛/法新社/盖蒂图片社
周三，特朗普政府发出了迄今为止最明确的信号：它正在明尼阿波利斯逐步缓和备受争议的移民打击行动。
最近接管该行动的白宫边境主管汤姆·霍曼表示，政府正”立即”缩减700名联邦官员——这占已部署3000名特工的很大一部分。霍曼称，这是因为地方当局在从监狱中逮捕无证移民方面提供了更多合作，但这些地方当局对所谓缺乏合作的说法提出了异议。
事实上，缩减行动更可能的原因是政治因素——一周半前亚历克斯·普雷蒂在与联邦特工的遭遇中被杀，这使得政府处境难以为继——现在它至少在一定程度上开始退缩。
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特朗普周三表示，他意识到政府或许可以采用”更温和的方式”。
“我了解到，也许我们可以稍微温和一点，但仍然必须强硬。这些是罪犯，我们正在与真正的危险罪犯打交道，”他在接受美国全国广播公司新闻采访时表示。
普雷蒂死后，我们首次获得了支持这一说法的确凿数据。
益普索（Ipsos）和昆尼皮亚克大学（Quinnipiac University）的两项新民调，是普雷蒂被杀后进行的首批高质量调查。第一项民调显示，美国人绝大多数认为他的被杀涉及”过度使用武力”，而第二项民调显示，选民绝大多数认为枪击事件”不合法”——这些反应甚至比1月初Renee Good被美国移民海关执法局特工杀害后还要强烈。
重要的是：在这两起事件之间，实际上是共和党人对联邦政府行动的反对态度转变最大。
益普索民调显示，55%的美国人认为普雷蒂被杀涉及”过度使用武力”，而认为使用武力”必要”的人仅占16%。这几乎是3:1的判决，反对涉事联邦特工。
这比针对古德被杀事件的民意调查结果更加一边倒。1月中旬，益普索民调显示，52%的美国人认为古德被杀事件中的武力使用”过度”而非”必要”，比例为25%。
（美国有线电视新闻网的一项民调同样显示，美国成年人认为特工在古德被杀事件中的使用武力”不当”的比例为56%，而认为必要的为26%。）
正如这些数字所示，对古德和普雷蒂被杀事件反应的最大差异似乎在于愿意为涉事联邦特工使用的武力作证的人数比例。
而这一比例下降的原因几乎完全归咎于共和党人。
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How bad was Alex Pretti’s killing for the Trump administration? New data tells us
2026-02-04T21:06:37.429Z / CNN Politics
Analysis by
Aaron Blake
Updated 44 min ago
Updated Feb 4, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
PUBLISHED Feb 4, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
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A federal agent aims his pepper spray during an immigration raid in Minneapolis, Minnesota on Tuesday.
Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty Images
The Trump administration on Wednesday delivered its surest sign yet that it’s de-escalating its highly controversial immigration crackdown in Minneapolis.
Tom Homan, the White House border czar who recently took over the operation, said the administration is “immediately” drawing down 700 federal officers — a huge chunk of the 3,000 agents that have been sent. Homan cited more cooperation from local authorities in apprehending undocumented immigrants from jails, but those local authorities have disputed the claims about their supposed lack of cooperation.
Indeed, the more likely reason for the drawdown appears to be politics — the killing of Alex Pretti a week and a half ago in an encounter with federal agents made the situation untenable for the administration — and now it’s backing off, at least somewhat.
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Trump said Wednesday he’d learned his administration could possibly use a “softer touch.”
“I learned that maybe we can use a little bit of a softer touch, but you still have to be tough. These are criminals, we’re dealing with really hard criminals,” he told NBC News in an interview.
And for the first time since Pretti’s death, we have hard data to back that up.
Two new polls from Ipsos and Quinnipiac University are the first high-quality surveys conducted completely after Pretti’s death. The first shows Americans overwhelmingly view his killing as involving “excessive force,” while the second shows voters overwhelmingly see the shooting as “not justified” — with those responses even more pronounced than after Renee Good’s killing by an ICE agent earlier in January.
And importantly: It was actually Republicans who shifted the most against the federal government’s actions between those two events.
The Ipsos poll showed 55% of Americans said Pretti’s killing involved “excessive force,” compared to just 16% who said the use of force was “necessary.” That’s a roughly 3-to-1 verdict against the federal agents involved.
That’s even more lopsided than the already-lopsided verdict on Good’s killing. Back in mid-January, an Ipsos poll showed Americans said 52%-25% that the force used in Good’s killing was “excessive” rather than “necessary.”
(A CNN poll, similarly, showed US adults said 56%-26% that the agent’s use of force in Good’s killing was “inappropriate.”)
As those numbers show, the big difference in reactions to Good’s and Pretti’s killings seems to be the percentage of people willing to vouch for the force used by the federal agents involved.
And the reason that percentage has dropped is almost wholly due to Republicans.
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