美军在海军集结持续的情况下击落伊朗无人机
摩根·菲利普斯报道
福克斯新闻
2026年2月4日 美国东部时间上午10:34发布 | 2026年2月4日 美国东部时间上午10:36更新
特朗普警告伊朗”若未达成协议，坏事将发生”
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普警告，如果在土耳其的核谈判失败，将采取军事回应，与此同时《华尔街日报》社论版呼吁美国支持”推翻阿亚图拉政权”，此时德黑兰正爆发大规模抗议活动。
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数周以来，特朗普总统一直向伊朗人民承诺”援助即将到来”，同时将一支庞大的美国海军舰队部署在伊朗海岸的打击范围内。但随着白宫转向周五在伊斯坦布尔举行的外交峰会，分析师警告称，如果威胁不付诸行动，总统可能面临日益严峻的可信度考验。
特朗普通过威胁对一个被指控杀害数千名抗议者的政权实施”快速而猛烈的打击”，划出了一条红线——分析师称这与奥巴马总统2013年就叙利亚使用化学武器发出的警告相呼应。奥巴马最终选择外交途径而非军事打击，批评者称这削弱了美国的可信度并助长了对手，而支持者则认为这避免了更广泛的战争，并成功移除了叙利亚大部分化学武器库。特朗普现在正面临类似的辩论，他正在权衡是否要对伊朗实施自己的警告。
特朗普的特使定于周五在伊斯坦布尔与伊朗官员会面，以施压伊朗终止核浓缩计划、限制弹道导弹，并停止对哈马斯和真主党等代理组织的支持——德黑兰方面尚未公开表现出接受这些条件的迹象。特朗普还要求终止政权对抗议者的暴力镇压。
但会谈迹象已出现紧张。
据一位知情人士透露，伊朗现在寻求将周五的会议地点改为阿曼，这引发了关于峰会是否会按计划进行或取得实质性进展的疑问。
阿亚图拉阿里·哈梅内伊与一名高级军事官员坐在一起。(盖蒂图片社)
特朗普称停止伊朗处决使军事打击暂缓
尽管寻求外交途径，地面紧张局势仍持续升级。本周，美国中央司令部表示，美国海军”亚伯拉罕·林肯”号航空母舰在阿拉伯海国际水域航行时，一架伊朗无人机曾逼近并被美军击落。中央司令部称，在F-35C战斗机自卫击落无人机前，无人机无视了降级措施。
没有美国人员受伤。
数小时后，伊朗海军骚扰了一艘悬挂美国国旗、由美国船员操作的商业油轮，该油轮正在霍尔木兹海峡过境。伊朗炮艇和监视无人机多次威胁登船，直到导弹驱逐舰”麦克福尔”号进行干预并护送油轮安全抵达。
中央司令部警告称，伊朗在国际水域的持续骚扰增加了误判和地区不稳定的风险。
尽管拖延了数周，外交政策分析师表示，这种暂停并不意味着军事行动已被排除。
特朗普称伊朗已掌握美国条款，军事打击倒计时
“如果仅从军事力量调动和总统过去的政策声明来看，你必须押注军事行动仍可能发生，”前特朗普国家安全委员会官员、现任美国防御民主基金会成员里奇·戈德堡告诉福克斯新闻数字版。
“我认为窗口尚未关闭，”美国犹太国家安全研究所所长迈克尔·马科夫斯基表示，”如果总统不采取军事行动，将损害他的可信度。”
2026年1月9日，伊朗民众在德黑兰抗议中阻塞街道。(MAHSA/中东图片/法新社通过盖蒂图片社)
这场对峙让人重新联想到奥巴马2013年在叙利亚化武问题上的决定——当时他警告使用化武将越过美国”红线”，但最终未实施军事打击。这一事件成为美国威慑政策辩论的试金石。
叙利亚事件至今仍是华盛顿红线辩论的核心。批评者认为奥巴马未采取行动助长了对手，而支持者则称外交避免了战争——随着特朗普权衡下一步行动，这种分歧再次浮现。
“他们现在试图让总统重蹈2013年奥巴马在叙利亚的覆辙，而不是2025年特朗普在伊朗的抉择，”戈德堡说。
福克斯新闻数字版已联系奥巴马办公室寻求置评。
特朗普公开鼓励伊朗抗议者继续示威，1月初告诉他们”继续抗议”并承诺”援助正在路上”。
然而，美国官员此前表示，这种暂停反映的是谨慎而非退缩，指出对美军报复的担忧以及若政权大幅削弱后谁将领导伊朗的不确定性。特朗普本人在1月也提出了这些疑问，公开质疑是否有任何反对派人物在流亡数十年后能切实治理国家。
“总统始终致力于优先采取外交途径，”白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特周二表示，”但外交要取得成效，当然需要双方参与，需要愿意合作的伙伴。”
“总统在桌上始终有一系列选择，包括使用武力，”她补充道。
特朗普称海湾盟友对美伊谈判不知情：”不能告诉他们计划”
一些分析师拒绝认为政府已实质性放缓军事姿态。
“我认为他们没有暂停行动，”中东论坛执行董事格雷格·罗曼表示，”总统向战区部署的资产越多，美国的操作空间就越大，而非缩小。”
罗曼指出美军持续向该地区增兵，认为这种集结表明准备而非克制。
“这不是一个正在放弃军事选项的国家的行为，”他说。
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“这不是一个放弃军事选择的国家的行为，”他说。
福克斯新闻的艾莎·哈希尼对本报道有贡献。
Trump’s Iran threats face ‘Obama red line’ test as White House pivots to diplomacy
US forces shot down Iranian drone as naval buildup continues
By Morgan Phillips
Fox News
Published February 4, 2026 10:34am EST | Updated February 4, 2026 10:36am EST
Trump warns Iran ‘BAD things will happen’ if no deal is reached
President Donald Trump warns of a military response if nuclear negotiations in Turkey fail, as the Wall Street Journal editorial board calls for U.S. support to ‘topple the ayatollah’ amid mass protests in Tehran.
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For weeks, President Donald Trump has promised the Iranian people that “help is on the way” while positioning a massive U.S. naval armada within striking distance of Iran’s coast. But as the White House pivots toward a diplomatic summit in Istanbul Friday, analysts warn the president may face a growing credibility test if threats are not followed by action.
By threatening “speed and fury” against a regime accused of killing thousands of protesters, Trump has drawn a red line — one that analysts say echoes President Barack Obama’s 2013 warning over Syria’s use of chemical weapons. Obama ultimately chose diplomacy over military strikes, a decision critics said weakened U.S. credibility and emboldened adversaries, while supporters argued it avoided a broader war and succeeded in removing large portions of Syria’s chemical arsenal. Trump now faces a similar debate as he weighs whether to enforce his own warnings against Iran.
Trump’s envoys are set to meet Friday in Istanbul with Iranian officials to press for an end to Iran’s nuclear enrichment program, curbs on ballistic missiles and a halt to support for proxy groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah — terms Tehran has shown little public sign of accepting. Trump has also demanded an end to the regime’s violent crackdown on protesters.
But signs of strain are already emerging around the talks.
Iran is now seeking a change in venue to Friday’s meeting — wanting it to be held in Oman, according to a source familiar with the request — raising questions about whether the summit will proceed as scheduled or produce substantive progress.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei sits next to a senior military official in Iran.(Getty Images)
TRUMP CREDITS HALTED IRAN EXECUTIONS FOR HOLDING OFF MILITARY STRIKES
Tensions on the ground have continued to rise even as diplomacy is pursued. This week, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) said American forces shot down an Iranian drone after it aggressively approached the USS Abraham Lincoln while the aircraft carrier was operating in international waters in the Arabian Sea. CENTCOM said the drone ignored de-escalatory measures before an F-35C fighter jet downed it in self-defense.
No U.S. personnel were injured.
Hours later, Iranian naval forces harassed a U.S.-flagged, U.S.-crewed commercial tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to CENTCOM. Iranian gunboats and a surveillance drone repeatedly threatened to board the vessel before the guided-missile destroyer USS McFaul intervened and escorted the tanker to safety.
CENTCOM warned that continued Iranian harassment in international waters increases the risk of miscalculation and regional destabilization.
Despite weeks of delay, foreign policy analysts say the pause does not mean military action has been taken off the table.
TRUMP SAYS IRAN ALREADY HAS US TERMS AS MILITARY STRIKE CLOCK TICKS
“If you just look at force movements and the president’s past statements of policy, you would have to bet on the likelihood that military action remains something that is coming,” Rich Goldberg, a former Trump National Security Council official now at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital.
“I don’t think the window is closed,” said Michael Makovsky, president of the Jewish Institute for National Security of America. “If the president doesn’t do something militarily, it would damage his credibility.”
Iranians block a street during a protest in Tehran, Jan. 9, 2026.(MAHSA/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)
The standoff is reviving comparisons to Obama’s 2013 decision not to carry out military strikes in Syria after warning that the use of chemical weapons would cross a U.S. “red line.” The moment became a touchstone in debates over American deterrence.
The Syria episode remains a touchstone in Washington’s red-line debates. Critics argued Obama’s decision not to strike emboldened adversaries, while supporters said diplomacy prevented war — a divide resurfacing as Trump weighs his next move.
“They have challenged the president now to try to turn him into Obama in 2013 in Syria, rather than Donald Trump in 2025 in Iran,” Goldberg said.
Fox News Digital has reached out to Obama’s office for comment.
Trump has publicly encouraged Iranian protesters to continue their demonstrations, telling them in early January to “KEEP PROTESTING” and promising that “HELP IS ON ITS WAY.”
U.S. officials, however, have previously said the pause reflects caution rather than retreat, pointing to concerns about retaliation against American forces and uncertainty over who would lead Iran if the regime were significantly weakened. Trump himself raised those questions in January, publicly casting doubt on whether any opposition figure could realistically govern after decades in exile.
“As for the president, he remains committed to always pursuing diplomacy first,” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said Tuesday. “But in order for diplomacy to work, of course, it takes two to tango, you need a willing partner to engage.”
“The president has always a range of options on the table, and that includes the use of military force,” she added.
The standoff is reviving comparisons to President Obama’s 2013 decision not to carry out military strikes in Syria after warning that the use of chemical weapons would cross a U.S. “red line.”(Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
TRUMP SAYS GULF ALLIES KEPT IN DARK AS US NEGOTIATES WITH IRAN: ‘CANT’ TELL THEM THE PLAN’
Some analysts reject the premise that the administration has meaningfully slowed its military posture.
“I don’t think they’ve paused action,” said Gregg Roman, executive director of the Middle East Forum. “The more assets that the president deploys to the theater gives the U.S. more maneuvering room, rather than less.”
Roman pointed to continued U.S. force movements into the region, arguing the buildup signals preparation rather than restraint.
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“That’s not the behavior of a country backing away from military options,” he said.
Fox News’ Aishah Hashnie contributed to this report.
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