3小时前
发布于2026年1月29日，美国东部时间上午12:00
分析：斯蒂芬·科林森
明尼苏达州当前局势的走向，取决于总统唐纳德·特朗普是否认为自己面临的只是形象问题，或是他是否准备改变那些对其政治身份至关重要却不受欢迎的驱逐政策。
周三，特朗普说到做到。在上周末联邦探员枪杀重症监护室护士亚历克斯·普雷蒂后，明尼阿波利斯和全国都濒临危险危机，他确实“稍微缓和”了一些。
但只是“稍微”。政府激进的驱逐行动与一个根本反对其方法和最终目标的民主党州和城市之间的裂痕并未缩小。
而且，他又开始对阻碍其行动的地方领导人发表煽动性言论。
除非特朗普准备接受严重的政治失败，或者民主党至少默许一些联邦驱逐行动，否则任何缓和都可能昙花一现。
“我不希望他们花一秒钟追捕一个刚刚把孩子送到日托中心、即将开始12小时轮班的父亲，而他恰好来自厄瓜多尔，”明尼阿波利斯市长雅各布·弗雷在周三的CNN市政厅会议上表示。“那个人让我们的城市变得更美好，我们为有他这样的居民在明尼阿波利斯而自豪。”
明尼苏达州民众哀悼两名被联邦探员枪杀的本州公民，不会接受表面的和解。
但驱逐行动是特朗普的“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）哲学的核心，是他吸引支持者的关键，也是总统推行强人政治的热情体现。
2026年1月28日，华盛顿特区美国退伍军人事务部外，一名儿童在亚历克斯·普雷蒂的临时纪念装置旁举着蜡烛。
曼德尔·恩甘/法新社/盖蒂图片社
普雷蒂被杀事件余波未平，周三政治紧张局势依然严峻，距离雷妮·古德被枪杀不到三周。一些报道称，联邦执法行动虽有进行，但比前几周更具针对性。
- 被特朗普派往明尼苏达州监督“地铁行动”的边境负责人汤姆·霍曼，与地方官员进行了会谈。消息人士向CNN的普莉西拉·阿尔瓦雷斯和克里斯汀·霍尔姆斯描述这次会谈“岌岌可危”。
- 短暂停顿后，特朗普再次加大了言辞攻击力度，这种态度似乎与霍曼寻求真诚解决方案的努力格格不入。总统警告弗雷，如果他的城市不执行联邦移民法，就是“玩火”。弗雷拒绝与联邦探员合作。
- 美国国土安全部表示，周六涉及枪杀普雷蒂的人员已按程序停职。但调查结果或普雷蒂之死是否会被追究责任尚不明确，许多明尼苏达人对国土安全部的调查不信任。
- 一段新视频曝光，显示普雷蒂在被致命枪击前一周，曾与海关和边境保护局（CBP）探员发生肢体冲突。
- 参议院民主党人提出了削减联邦执法政策的要求，试图利用有限的政治影响力阻碍拨款。若周五前未达成协议，政府将部分停摆。
- 共和党人对普雷蒂被杀的不满以及特朗普强硬政策的不受欢迎，使共和党参议员再次陷入政治困境。与政府立场不同，参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩表示希望进行独立调查。许多共和党人对国土安全部部长克里斯蒂·诺姆在普雷蒂死后对其的诽谤表示不满，但大多数人仍不愿公开反对特朗普要求解雇她。民主党人誓言，如果诺姆不解职，将推动对她的弹劾。
- 周二晚，一名男子向明尼苏达州民主党众议员伊尔汉·奥马尔喷洒恶臭物质（现被认为是苹果醋），凸显了政治紧张可能带来的可怕后果。特朗普对此冷漠的反应，削弱了人们对他在行动中呼吁冷静的期望。
2026年1月28日，明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市亨利·惠普尔主教联邦大楼外，示威者抗议联邦移民探员的存在。
香农·斯塔普尔顿/路透社
移民政策的巨大分歧
普雷蒂被杀引发的全国公愤迫使特朗普撤回了言辞激烈的边境巡逻队负责人格雷格·博维诺，并通过派遣霍曼来削弱诺姆的影响力。特朗普和其他几位高级官员也暂时缓和了言辞。
但明尼阿波利斯危机背后存在着根本的政治分歧。如果旨在实现政府激进驱逐目标的策略显得过于严苛，可能会促使更多移民自行离境或根本不敢尝试进入美国。
政府指责包括明尼苏达州和明尼阿波利斯在内的民主党管辖区拒绝配合联邦行动，并通过鼓励示威的政治言论积极妨碍执法。
这种做法是特朗普国内政治议程的核心支柱，尽管在其基本盘之外不受美国人欢迎。这也是白宫难以妥协的原因之一。
“特朗普竞选并赢得了这场斗争，这不是其政纲中的次要内容，而是他2024年竞选活动的核心政策之一，”密苏里州参议员埃里克·施密特周三表示。“这一承诺是美国民众再次选举他入主白宫的关键原因之一。”
此外，许多共和党人认为这是实施长期支持政策的短暂契机。
“这是必须完成的事情，如果在特朗普总统任期内无法实现，我们是否还能有机会做到？”与联邦官员合作过的佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周二在福克斯新闻的《英格拉哈姆角度》节目中表示。
公众愤怒可能迫使特朗普采取较温和的方式。但也有可能，特别是在副白宫幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒等移民强硬派影响下，这届政府可能会无视总统下滑的支持率和中期选举前共和党议员的焦虑，以实现这一“代际目标”。
民主党人认为自己处于更有利的政治地位，因为许多美国人希望加强边境安全，但不喜欢大规模驱逐。一些地方民主党官员，如明尼阿波利斯的官员，拒绝允许警方配合联邦探员进行驱逐。
而且特朗普的行动远远超出了政府声称的主要针对有暴力犯罪记录的非法移民的范围。许多守法移民，尽管缺乏合法身份但已在美国生活多年，也被卷入其中。激进的移民与海关执法局（ICE）行动甚至误捕了一些美国公民。出现了一些不人道场景：戴口罩的探员随机要求路人出示证件。
“从法律上讲，我们街道上发生的行为是违宪的，”弗雷在CNN市政厅会议上表示。“你不能因为一个人看起来像索马里人或拉丁裔就随意将其从街上带走。你不能拘留美国公民，把他们与家人分开，而他们甚至不知道自己被带到哪里。”
民主党人认为普雷蒂之死直接源于政府的政治选择。“他是被两名CBP探员杀死的，他们扣动了扳机，”弗吉尼亚州众议员詹姆斯·沃金肖在华盛顿的守夜活动中说。“但他实际上是被特朗普政府杀死的，是唐纳德·特朗普、克里斯蒂·诺姆、格雷格·博维诺、拉斯·沃特和斯蒂芬·米勒……我还能继续说下去。”
政府政策的不人道性也削弱了其政治地位。一个特别感人的案例触动了许多人——戴着背包的5岁男孩利亚姆·科内霍·拉莫斯，他与父亲在明尼阿波利斯被捕并被送往德克萨斯州拘留所。民主党众议员华金·卡斯特罗周三见到了利亚姆，并转述了他父亲的评价：“他非常沮丧。”
“稍微”缓和不足以安抚明尼苏达州州长蒂姆·瓦尔兹，他周三在访问普雷蒂临时纪念装置时表示：“我对语气转变不感兴趣，我们只需要他们离开这里，并为发生的事情负责。”
特朗普再次抨击
语气似乎并未有太大转变。
周三，特朗普指责弗雷称不会执行联邦移民法。总统在Truth Social平台警告：“请他的内部人士解释一下，这一言论是对法律的严重违反，他这是在玩火！”
司法部长帕姆·邦迪周三在访问明尼苏达州时在社交媒体上写道：“我们不会容忍明尼苏达州的无法无天。任何事都无法阻止我们继续逮捕和执法。”
副总统JD·万斯在X平台上质问弗雷：“联邦执法部门该如何自处？他们还会觉得报警安全吗？现在不会，因为你告诉警察不要帮助他们。”
2026年1月22日，明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市，明尼阿波利斯市长雅各布·弗雷出席新闻发布会。
斯蒂芬·马图伦/盖蒂图片社
有时，严厉的政治言辞可能是为政治撤退打掩护。但这听起来不像是一个准备放弃强硬路线的政府。
霍曼周四将在明尼阿波利斯举行预定的新闻发布会，届时可能会更清晰地看到缓和的可能性。CNN的阿尔瓦雷斯和霍尔姆斯报道称，可能的妥协方案包括联邦承诺更有针对性地打击有犯罪记录的非法移民，以及让边境巡逻队支持ICE行动而非大规模扫荡。
参议院民主党人希望达成更多协议以避免部分政府停摆。少数党领袖查克·舒默提出三项条件，包括收紧移民与海关执法局探员的搜查令使用和流动巡逻；执行与州和地方执法部门相当的行为准则；以及要求ICE探员摘下口罩并佩戴随身摄像机。
这可能会影响特朗普国内议程的核心支柱。但民主党人可能会遇到一个熟悉的问题：由于国土安全部和ICE在特朗普的“大漂亮法案”立法中获得了资金激增，他们的行动短期内可能不会受到阻碍。共和党人可能会在停摆中拖延民主党，就像去年那样。
但停摆可能会澄清这一问题：特朗普是否愿意在驱逐政策上让步，或只是做些表面调整来改变公众看法？
Why the Minnesota deportation impasse will be so hard to solve
3 hr ago
PUBLISHED Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Analysis by
[Stephen Collinson]
What happens now in Minnesota depends on whether President Donald Trump concludes he simply has an optics problem or whether he’s ready to change unpopular deportation policies that are central to his political identity.
Trump on Wednesday was as good as his word. He did de-escalate “a little bit” after the shooting of ICU nurse Alex Pretti by federal agents last weekend drove Minneapolis and the country toward a dangerous crisis.
But it was only a little bit. Fault lines between the administration’s aggressive deportation operation and a Democratic state and city fundamentally opposed to its methods and ultimate goal have not narrowed.
And he’s back to flinging inflammatory rhetoric at local leaders getting in his way.
Any de-escalation may be short-lived unless Trump is ready to absorb a serious political defeat or Democrats offer acquiescence to at least some federal deportation activity.
“I don’t want them spending a single second hunting down a father who just dropped his kids off at daycare, who’s about to go work a 12-hour shift, who happens to be from Ecuador,” Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey said at a CNN town hall on Wednesday. “That guy. He makes our city a better place. We’re proud to have him in Minneapolis.”
Minnesotans mourning two of their own citizens gunned down by federal agents won’t settle for a cosmetic agreement.
But deportation sweeps are endemic to MAGA philosophy, Trump’s appeal to his supporters and the president’s zeal to apply strongman power.
A child holds a candle next to a makeshift memorial for Alex Pretti outside the US Department of Veteran Affairs in Washington DC, on January 28, 2026.
Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images
Political tensions were still acute on Wednesday amid fresh reverberations over Pretti’s killing, less than three weeks after Renee Good was shot dead. Some reports said that federal enforcement operations went ahead but were more targeted than in previous weeks.
► Tom Homan, the border czar sent by Trump to oversee Operation Metro Surge, which sent 3,000 federal agents to Minnesota, held talks with local officials described by a source as “precarious” to CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez and Kristen Holmes.
► After a short hiatus, Trump cranked up the rhetoric again in a way that seemed incompatible with a search for a good-faith solution by Homan. The president warned Frey he was “playing with fire” if his city fails to enforce federal immigration law. Frey is refusing to cooperate with federal agents.
► The Department of Homeland Security said officers involved in the shooting of Pretti on Saturday were on administrative leave per procedure. But there is no clarity on investigations or whether there will be accountability for Pretti’s death beyond a DHS investigation that many Minnesotans won’t trust.
► A new video emerged of Pretti in a physical clash with Customs and Border Protection agents over a week before he was fatally shot.
► Senate Democrats laid out their demands for a curtailing of federal enforcement policies as they seek to use their limited political leverage to block spending. Without an agreement by Friday, the government will partially shut down.
► Republican discomfort over the killing of Pretti and the unpopularity of Trump’s tough approach left GOP senators dancing, once again, on the head of a political pin. In a break with the administration, Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he’d like to see an independent investigation. Many Republicans seemed cool toward Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, who maligned Pretti after his death, but most are still unwilling to openly cross Trump by calling for her dismissal. Democrats have pledged to push for Noem’s impeachment if she’s not fired.
► The dire possibilities of continued political tensions were underscored when a man sprayed a foul-smelling substance (now believed to be apple cider vinegar) on Minnesota Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar Tuesday night. Trump’s callous reaction dented any hopes he’d react to the tragedies amid an operation he ordered by calling for calm.
Demonstrators shout against the presence of federal immigration agents outside the Bishop Henry Whipple Federal Building in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on January 28, 2026.
Shannon Stapleton/Reuters
The gaping divide over immigration
National outrage over the killing of Pretti forced Trump’s hand in withdrawing the bombastic Border Patrol chief Greg Bovino from the state and sidelining Noem by sending Homan. Trump and several other senior officials also tempered their rhetoric, albeit temporarily.
But a fundamental political divide lies behind the Minneapolis crisis. If the tactics designed to meet ambitious administration deportation targets appear sufficiently draconian, they may encourage other migrants to self-deport or not to attempt to enter the country at all.
The administration accuses Democratic jurisdictions including Minnesota and Minneapolis of refusing to cooperate with federal operations and of actively hampering them through political speech that encourages demonstrations.
This approach is a pillar of Trump’s domestic project, even if it’s unpopular with Americans outside his base. That’s one reason it will be so hard for the White House to fold.
“Trump ran and won on fixing this. It wasn’t some minor footnote in his platform. It was one of the fundamental, defining policies of his 2024 campaign,” Missouri Sen. Eric Schmitt said on Wednesday. “That promise was one of the key reasons the American people sent him back to the White House.”
President Donald Trump delivers remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium in Washington DC, on January 28, 2026.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images
In addition, many Republicans perceive a fleeting moment to implement policies that they’ve long championed.
“This is something that has to be accomplished, and if it can’t be accomplished with President Trump’s presidency, then are we ever going to be able to get it done?” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has cooperated with federal officials, said on Fox News’ “Ingraham Angle” on Tuesday.
Public anger may force Trump to adopt a less aggressive approach. But it’s also possible this administration — especially under the influence of immigration hardliners like deputy White House chief of staff Stephen Miller — may be prepared to ignore the president’s tanking approval ratings and GOP lawmakers’ anxiety ahead of the midterms to achieve a generational goal.
Democrats believe they are on firmer political ground, since many Americans wanted tougher border security but dislike blanket deportations. Some local Democratic officials, like those in Minneapolis, refuse to allow their police forces to cooperate with federal agents on deportations.
And Trump has gone far beyond his administration’s stated intent of mainly targeting undocumented migrants with violent convictions. Many law-abiding migrants have been swept up who may lack legal status but have lived in the US for years. Aggressive ICE operations have also mistakenly arrested some US citizens. There’ve been un-American scenes of people asked for their papers by masked agents.
“Legally, the actions that have taken place in our street are unconstitutional,” Frey said at the CNN town hall. “You can’t randomly yank off the street a person because they happen to look Somali, or they happen to look Latino. You can’t detain United States citizens, rip them away from their family, and they don’t even know where they went.”
Democrats see Pretti’s death as directly attributable to the administration’s political choices. “He was killed by two CBP agents. They pulled the trigger,” Virginia Rep. James Walkinshaw said at a vigil in Washington. “But he was actually killed by the Trump administration. He was killed by Donald Trump and Kristi Noem and Greg Bovino and Russ Vought. … And Stephen Miller … I could go on.”
The inhumanity of the administration’s approach is also weakening its political position. One case in particular has touched many hearts — that of backpack-wearing 5-year-old Liam Conejo Ramos, who was arrested with his father in Minneapolis and sent to detention in Texas. Democratic Rep. Joaquin Castro met Liam on Wednesday and shared his father’s assessment that his son was “very depressed.”
A “little bit” of de-escalation won’t placate Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, who said as he visited a makeshift memorial for Pretti on Wednesday that “I’m not so interested in shifted tone, we just need them out of here and we need accountability for what has happened.”
Trump lashes out again
The tone doesn’t seem to have shifted that much.
Trump on Wednesday rebuked Frey for saying he would not enforce federal immigration laws. The president warned on Truth Social, “Could somebody in his inner sanctum please explain that this statement is a very serious violation of the Law, and that he is PLAYING WITH FIRE!”
Attorney General Pam Bondi wrote on social media during a visit to the North Star State on Wednesday: “We will NOT tolerate lawlessness in Minnesota. Nothing will stop us from continuing to make arrests and enforce the law.”
Vice President JD Vance asked Frey on X: “How about federal law enforcement. Should they feel safe calling 911? Right now, they don’t, because you’ve told your police officers not to help them.”
Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey arrives to speak during a press conference in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on January 22, 2026.
Stephen Maturen/Getty Images
Sometimes harsh political rhetoric can be used to give cover for a political retreat. But this does not sound like an administration about to shelve its tough line.
The potential for detente may become clearer when Homan holds a scheduled press conference in Minneapolis on Thursday. CNN’s Alvarez and Holmes reported that possible compromises could lie in a federal pledge for more targeted operations against undocumented immigrants with criminal records and the use of Border Patrol agents to support ICE operations instead of in broad sweeps.
Senate Democrats want far more to avert a partial government shutdown. Minority leader Chuck Schumer stipulated three conditions, including tightening the use of warrants and roving patrols for ICE agents; the enforcing of codes of conduct comparable to those followed by state and local law enforcement; and for ICE agents to remove their masks and to wear body cameras.
This might constrict a major plank of Trump’s domestic agenda. But Democrats may come up against a familiar problem. Since the DHS and ICE got a funding windfall in Trump’s “big beautiful bill” legislation, their operations may not be hampered in the short term. Republicans might be able to wait out Democrats in a shutdown, as happened last year.
But a shutdown might clarify this issue. Is Trump willing to give ground on his policy on deportations, or does he simply hope to make superficial adjustments that change how it is perceived?
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