更新于：2026年1月22日 / 美国东部时间下午2:18 / CBS新闻
长期以来批评世界经济论坛（World Economic Forum）在瑞士达沃斯举办年度活动的埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）于周四首次出席该盛会，他在会上预测机器人最终将比人类数量多。
马斯克此前曾贬低该活动，而本周的达沃斯论坛正吸引着包括特朗普总统、法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙（Emmanuel Macron）和欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩（Ursula von der Leyen）在内的多国国家元首、商界人士等众多人士参加。
2023年，马斯克批评达沃斯“日益成为一个未经选举产生的世界政府，人民从未要求过，也不想要这样的政府。”根据彭博亿万富翁指数（Bloomberg Billionaires Index），马斯克去年领导了特朗普政府的政府效率部，目前是世界首富，财富估值达6770亿美元。
当被问及包括电动汽车制造商特斯拉（Tesla）和太空探索企业SpaceX在内的公司目标时，马斯克表示，特斯拉的使命现在包括通过机器人技术实现“可持续富足”。特斯拉目前正在开发一款名为Optimus的人形机器人以及自动驾驶出租车。
“借助机器人技术和人工智能，这确实是实现全民富足的道路，”马斯克在与贝莱德（BlackRock）首席执行官兼世界经济论坛联合主席拉里·芬克（Larry Fink）的一对一采访中表示。“人们常谈论解决全球贫困问题——我们如何让每个人都过上高标准的生活？唯一的方法就是人工智能和机器人技术。”
马斯克补充说，他设想有一天机器人将“无处不在”，这将释放“全球经济的爆炸式增长”。
“我的预测是机器人的数量将会超过人类，”他补充道，并称在年轻人不足以照顾老年人的世界里，人形机器人可以帮助提供养老服务。
Optimus或于2027年上市
当芬克询问机器人何时能更广泛地投入使用时，马斯克表示，特斯拉的Optimus机器人目前正在工厂中执行“简单任务”。
“到今年年底，我认为它们将能够完成更复杂的任务，而明年年底，我认为我们将向公众销售人形机器人，”马斯克补充道。“那时我们有信心它将具备极高的可靠性——你基本上可以要求它做任何你想做的事情。”
据巴克莱银行（Barclays）分析师称，目前人形机器人市场的估值在20亿至30亿美元之间。但随着人工智能驱动的机器人进入制造业等劳动密集型行业，该投资银行预计到2035年，这一领域的规模将至少扩大到400亿美元，甚至可能高达2000亿美元。
马斯克还谈到了自动驾驶的未来。
“我认为自动驾驶汽车在目前基本上是一个已解决的问题。特斯拉已经推出了……并将在今年年底前在美国多个城市广泛推广，”他告诉芬克。“然后我们希望下个月能在欧洲获得有监管监督的完全自动驾驶技术批准。希望中国也能在类似的时间点实现。”
编辑：Alain Sherter
Elon Musk, a fierce Davos critic, tells World Economic Forum that robots will outnumber humans
Updated on: January 22, 2026 / 2:18 PM EST / CBS News
Elon Musk, a long-time critic of the World Economic Forum’s annual event in Davos, Switzerland, appeared at the gathering for the first time on Thursday, where he predicted that robots will eventually outnumber humans.
Musk has previously dismissed the event, which this week is hosting multiple heads of state, business figures and others, including President Trump, President Emmanuel Macron of France and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.
In 2023, Musk criticized Davos as “increasingly becoming an unelected world government that the people never asked for and don’t want.” Musk, who last year led the Trump administration’s Department of Government Efficiency, is the world’s richest person, with a fortune valued at $677 billion,according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Asked about the goals of his companies, which include electric car maker Tesla and space exploration business SpaceX, Musk said that Tesla’s mission now includes “sustainable abundance” through the development of robotics. Tesla is currently developing a humanoid robot, dubbed Optimus, as well as automated robotaxis.
“With robotics and AI, this is really the path to abundance for all,” Musk told BlackRock CEO and WEF co-chair Larry Fink in a one-on-one interview. “People often talk about solving global poverty — how do we give everyone a very high standard of living? The only way to do this is AI and robotics.”
Musk added that he envisions a day when robotics are “ubiquitous,” which he said would unleash “an explosion in the global economy.”
“My prediction is there will be more robots than people,” he said, adding that humanoid robots could help provide elder care in a world where there aren’t enough young people to take care of older citizens.
Optimus may hit the market in 2027
Asked by Fink how quickly robots might be more widely available, Musk said that Tesla’s Optimus robots are currently performing “simple tasks in the factory.”
“By the end of this year, I think they will be doing more complex tasks, and probably by the end of next year, I think we’d be selling humanoid robots to the public,” Musk added. “That’s when we are confident it’ll have very high reliability — you can basically ask it to do anything you like.”
The market for humanoid robotics is today valued at between $2 billion and $3 billion, according to Barclays analysts. But the investment bank expects the sector to expand to at least $40 billion by 2035, and perhaps by as much as $200 billion, as AI-powered robots enter labor-intensive sectors, such as manufacturing.
Musk also talked up the future of autonomous driving.
“I think self-driving cars is essentially a solved problem at this point. And Tesla has rolled out… robotaxis in a few cities and will be very widespread by the end of this year within the U.S.,” he told Fink. “And then we hope to get supervised full self-driving approval in Europe, hopefully next month. And then, maybe a similar timing for China, hopefully.”
Edited by Alain Sherter
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